Republic Double Exit Poll for Maharashtra: BJP-ShivSena combination projected to rout Congress-NCP alliance as per both Jan Ki Baat and CVoter

With polling in world's largest democracy coming to an end on Sunday with conclusion of seventh and final round of voting in general elections, 1.3 billion citizens of India including an estimated 900 million-strong electorate w await vote-counting on May 23 when identities of 542 ( Vellore polls were countermanded) newly elected members to lower house of India's Parliament will be revealed, and consequently, process of forming next government of India will enter its final st. Ahead of what promises to be a thrilling May 23, Republic Media Network has broadcast country's biggest exit poll - double exit poll in collaboration with nation's biggest pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter - which presents a projection of what to expect on counting day, including granular projections from each of states and union territories. 

Republic-CVoter Exit Poll Projection: NDA Will Cross Halfway Mark, Modi Set To Form Government Again, Congress Likely To Fall Short Of 100 Mark

Maharashtra:

In India's second-most electorally significant state Maharashtra where battle is set between BJP-Shiv Sena (NDA) alliance and Congress-NCP (UPA) alliance for 48 Lok Sabha seats up for grabs which polled in first four phases of Lok Sabha elections on April 11,18,23 and 29, here are projections:

CVoter:

Seat Share:

In terms of seats, NDA is projected to win 34 seats, while UPA is projected to win 14 seats.
NDA: 34 seats
UPA: 14 seats

Vote Share:

As per CVoter, NDA is projected to lead pack garnering 42.6% of votes. UPA is projected to trail closely with 38.5% of votes, while or parties are projected to garner 18.9% of votes.

NDA: 42.6%
UPA: 38.5%
Ors: 18.9%

Jan Ki Baat:

Seat Share:

NDA is projected to win 34-39 seats while UPA is projected to win 8-12 seats with 'ors' predicted to win a single seat. In furr detail, BJP is predicted to win 21 seats, Shiv Sena is predicted to win 17 seats while Congress and NCP are predicted to win 3 seats and 6 seats respectively.

NDA: 34-39 (38) seats
UPA: 8-12 (9) seats
Ors: 1 seat

Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll Projection: NDA Will Form Government, Likely To Cross 300+ Mark Comfortably; Congress To Fall Short Of 100

Historical trend:

In 2014 General elections, Maharashtra had a voter turut of 60.4% in all phases in which 41 seats were won by NDA, while NCP and Congress won 4 seats and 2 seats respectively. Meanwhile, in 2019, BJP is projected to lead in 19 seats and Shiv Sena is projected to lead in 15 seats while UPA is projected to raise its numbers by Congress leading in 8 seats and NCP leading in 6 seats.

last two Assembly elections (288 seats) are seen to follow an increasing trend for NDA as it increased its win from 90 to 185 seats during 2014 Modi wave. While voter turut had increased marginally in 2014 from 59.6% to 63.3%, UPA faced a major loss as it diminished its seat share from 144 seats to 83 seats in 2014.
In 2019, Maharashtra has witnessed an aver voter turut of 61% in four poll phases.

National Approval Ratings: In Maharashtra, BJP-Shiv Sena Alliance Projected To Rout Congress-NCP

Key battles in Maharashtra:

Nagpur: BJP's Nitin Gadkari faced Congress' Nana Patole who was once BJP's MP from Bhandar-Gondiya for constituency in first phase on April 11.

Solapur: This SC-reserved seat saw triangular battle between Congress' Sushil Kumar Shinde, BJP's Dr. Jaysiddheshwar Shivachaya Maharaj and Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi's Prakash Ambedkar in second phase. Congress faced a tough fight due to Ambedkar's entry into poll fray thus dividing anti-BJP votes.

Ahmednagar: BJP's Sujay Vikhe Patil, son of former Leader of Opposition Radhakrishna Vikhe-Patil faced NCP MLA Sangram Jagtap and independent candidate SuvendraGandhi who is son of sitting BJP MP Dilip Gandhi who was denied a ticket. entire battle has become a prestige fight for Vikh-Patil family and Pawar family.

Ratnagiri: coastal belt seat saw a battle between Shiv Sena's Vinayak Raut and Nilesh Rane who belongs to Narayan Rane-led Maharashtra Swabhimaan Paksh and Congress' controversial candidate Navinchandra Bandivadekar. While Shiv Sena won in 2014, it is said to be on a backfoot due to job issues plaguing fisherman community. 

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Recent political developments:

While initially BJP and Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena were at daggers over numerous issues, and ir alliance, which has run for over two decades was speculated to be at an end despite parties being in government at Centre, state, and also in BMC, parties settled for a seat share with BJP contesting from 25 and Shiv Sena from 23 seats.
Congress faced a major shift in state leadership when former Leader of Opposition Radhakrishna Vikhe-Patil quit Congress after his son Sujay joined BJP. NCP chief too had declared that he would t contest which has earned many jibes from PM Modi and Uddhav Thackrey as rumours of a rift in Pawar family had emerged. or development was that MNS chief Raj Thackrey too opt out of contest while openly campaigning for Congress.

Recently, Shiv Sena leader and Saamna editor, Sanjay Raut stirred a controversy demanding Prime Minister Narendra Modi to ban burqa across country following Sri Lanka after serial blasts which rocked island nation on Easter Sunday.

Meanwhile, Shiv Sena rival, NCP Chief too claimed that in a presentation while he cast his vote for NCP, vote allegedly went to lotus.
state which is currently experiencing extreme drought had to wait till conclusion of polls for Maharashtra government to begin work under Employment Guarantee Scheme (EGS) in drought-affected areas after EC green flagged move as model code of conduct (MCC) was t applicable to drought-relief work.

"While Amit Shah Isn't 'God', Mamata Banerjee's Also Goddess Or Saint", Says Shiv Sena Hitting Out At West Bengal CM And Trinamool Over Election 2019 Violence

On a national scale:

2019 elections saw high-octane electric campaigning from both sides as BJP went hammer and tongs, expressing confidence at each turn that it would t only repeat but also better its tally of 282 votes from five years earlier, whereas Congress and or Opposition parties,  also campaigned heavily though without being able to make any convincing show of unity. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in Parliament, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in 2019 polls.

A number of Republic Media Network newsbreaks especially set nda for polls, including first interview of Prime Minister's election campaign to Republic's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami and his final campaign interview to Executive Editor Abhishek Kapoor. Alongside se were sensational #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed mselves willing to compromise interests of those whom y claim to represent, Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed falsehood in Congress' farm loan-waiver promise, and numerous ors.

vote counting for 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for n-stop cover of sensational conclusion to general elections here.