Exit Poll Results: Republic-PMARQ Predicts NDA's Win With 359 Seats, Matrize Projects 360

Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Dr Mohan Yadav responded to the exit polls giving a thumping victory to the BJP-led NDA. He said, "Under the leadership of the illustrious Prime Minister, we initiated our campaign 'Fir Ek Baar Modi Sarkar'. The trends coming so far are very pleasing in themselves. However, the joy that comes once the results come is a different matter. Trends show all 29 seats of Madhya Pradesh to the BJP. Also, NDA's seats are going above 370 across the country. Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, we are doing what we had promised."

On exit polls, former-Chhattisgarh Chief Minister Raman Singh said, "The kind of results that are being seen across the country, show that this country will move forward on the path of Sanatan, which is ancient as well as the most modern. The poor, labourers, farmers and women of the country have put their seal of approval on 10 years of development. The third term will be for the major development of the country. This will be the beginning towards making India the third power of the world."
 

On exit polls, BJP spokesperson Ajay Alok stated that the exit polls are a reflection of the direction in which the election results are headed. As per exit polls, the BJP will cross 370 and NDA 400. The nation believes in the leadership of PM Narendra Modi ji.

"Congress and INDI alliance leaders have demonstrated in this election that they don't understand what democracy is about and what the people of India want," said Union Minister Rajeev Chandrasekhar while speaking to Republic Media Network Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami today.

Republic-PMARQ and Matrize's Poll of Polls for Lok Sabha Elections 2024:

• BJP-led NDA is pojected to win 364 seats
• INDI Alliance is set to get 139 seats 
• Others to get 64 seats.

Exit Poll Predictions for Andhra Pradesh's 25 seats as per Republic-Matrize

• NDA projected to win in 19-22 seats
• YSRCP to get 3-6 seats
   

Republic-Matrize Exit Poll Results for Uttarakhand 

• NDA-02-04 seats
• INDI-04-05 seats

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Predictions for Jharkhand's 14 seats

• NDA-12 seats
• INDI- 02 seats

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Prediction for Kerala's 20 seats

• UDF 17 seats
• LDF 3 seats
• BJP 0 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Predictions for Rajasthan
 

• NDA- 23 seats
• INDI- 2 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Predictions for Rajasthan

NDA projected to win 22-24 seats

Congress 2 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Chhattisgarh

BJP- 9 seats
Congress - 2 seats

Republic-Martize's Exit Poll Prediction for Chhattisgarh

BJP projected to win 9-11 seats
 

Republic-Martize's Exit Poll Predictions

Mizoram 

• Congress- 1 seat
• ZPM- 1 seat

Nagaland 

NDA - 1 seat

Arunachal Pradesh

BJP- 2 seats

Tripura

NDA- 2 seats

Manipur

INDI- 1 seat

REST-1 seat
 

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll prediction for Gujarat

NDA- 26 seats

Republic-Martize's Exit Poll prediction for Gujarat
NDA 24-26 seats
INDI 00-02 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Predictions

• BJP- 8 seats 
• INDI- 2 seats

BJP Tamil Nadu president K. Annamalai said, "Exit poll predictions nationally are as per trends and expectations. On June 4, it will be more than 359. Confident of BJP share breaching 25%"

 

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Assam's 14 seats

• NDA to get 10-12 seats
• INDI to get 0-2 seats
• Others-0-2

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Assam's 14 seats

• NDA projected to win 11 out of 14 seats
• INDI alliance to win 2 seats
• OTHERS- 01

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Himachal's 4 seats

BJP is projected to win all 4 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Himachal's 4 seats

• BJP-3-4 seats
• Congress 0-1 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Telangana

• BJP projected to win in 6 seats
• Congress to win 8 seats
• BRS to get 2 seats
• AIMIM to win 1 seat

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Telangana

• BJP - 06-09 seats
• Congress 05-08 seats
• BRS- 00-03 seats
• AIMIM-0-1 seat

 “BJP and BJD not going together in Odisha was a very strategised disengagement...”, explain S Gurumurthy, Editor of Thuglak Magazine 
 

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll results for Madhya Pradesh's 29 seats

• BJP projected to win in 28 seats
• Congress to get victory in 1 seat

The NDA, according to the Matrize exit poll results, is projected to secure 28 of the 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, with the INDI alliance projected to secure a single seat and no seats being projected for other parties.
 

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Odisha seats

• BJP projected to win in 9-12 seats
• BJD set to win in 7-10 seats
• Congress projected to win in 0-1 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Odisha seats

• BJP- 14 seats
• BJD- 8 seats
   

“Vote share is more important than the number of seats that BJP may get...”, said S Gurumurthy, Editor, Thuglak Magazine on P-MARQ and MATRIZE Exit Poll Projections for Tamil Nadu.
 

Matrize Exit Poll Results for Bihar

• NDA: 32-37 seats
• INDI: 2-7 seats
• OTHERS: 0-1 seats

PMARQ Exit Poll Predictions for Bihar

• NDA projected to win in 37 seats
• INDI projected to win in 3 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Tamil Nadu's 39 seats

• NDA - 0-3 seats
• INDI 35-38 seats
• AIADMK-00-01

PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Tamil Nadu's 39 seats

• NDA- 0 seats
• INDI-38 seats
• Rest-01 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction fo West Bengal

• BJP- 22 seats
• TMC-20 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction fo West Bengal

• BJP -21-25 seats
• TMC- 16-20 seats
• INDI- 0-1 seats

Poll of polls for West Bengal

• NDA 22
• INDI 01
• TMC 19

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Predictions for Punjab's 13 seats

• BJP-2
• INDI-10
• OTHERS-1

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Predictions for Punjab's 13 seats
 

• BJP- 0-2 seats
• AAP- 3-6 seats
• Congress- 0-3 seats
• SAD- 1-4 seats
• OTHERS- 0-2 seats
   

Republic Matrize Exit Poll Prediction for Delhi's 7 Lok Sabha Seats

• BJP set to win in 5-7 seats
• INDI projected to win in 0-2

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Prediction for Delhi's 7 Lok Sabha Seats

*BJP set to win all 7 seats

• NDA- 22 seats
• INDI- 6 seats

• NDA to get 21 seats in Karnataka out of 28 seats
• INDI is predicted to win in 7 seats
   

• NDA to win in 22 seats
• INDI to win in 6 seats

“36-50 year old voters has gone with BJP, polling at 45% for PM Modi,”reveals Republic Media Network's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami
 

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Maharashtra's 48 seats

NDA -29 seats

INDI-17

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Maharashtra's 48 seats

• NDA -30-36 setas
• INDI-13-19 seats

Poll of polls for Maharashtra

• NDA- 31 seats
• INDI- 17 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh

• NDA-69-74 seats
• INDI-6-11 seats
• BSP-0
• Others-0

Out of 80 seats, here's what Republic-PMARQ has predicted for Uttar Pradesh

• NDA -69 seats
• INDI - 11 seats

• NDA to get 353-368 seats
• INDI to get 118-133 seats
• OTHERS to get 43-48 seats

NDA- 359

INDI- 154

OTHERS- 30

“The regional parties will continue to pose a stronger challenge for the BJP than the Congress”, said Abhishek Sudhir, Advocate & Political Analyst during India's biggest Exit Poll coverage with Republic Media Network's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami only on Republic TV.
 

The Election Commission of India has thanked all stakeholders involved in the polling, including voters, polling personnel, security forces, media and political parties, as voting concluded for the Lok Sabha elections held over seven phases.

The voting for the Lok Sabha elections began with the first phase on April 19, followed by subsequent phases on April 26, May 7, May 13, May 20, May 25, and June 1. The results will be declared on June 4.

 

"Have full faith that voters will make BJP win more than 370 seats, NDA more than 400 in Lok Sabha polls under PM Modi's leadership. People have voted for capable, developed, self-reliant India, and to put aside appeasement, nepotism, corruption," said BJP chief JP Nadda

Exit Poll results will give a picture of what the people across the country have decided for the next 5 years. Republic TV will provide double and highly authentic Exit Polls in collaboration with P-Marq and Matrize pollsters immediately after the last vote is cast in the polling booth. 

India's biggest Exit Poll coverage with Arnab is now #LIVE. 

Tune in here to WATCH - https://www.youtube.com/live/ERDLMFd-ECE

After INDI leaders meet on Friday evening, Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav said, “INDI will get 295 seats, BJP jaane wali hai. The country is going to witness an earthquake.”

"INDI alliance is getting 295+ seats and the BJP will win around 220 seats and the NDA alliance will 235 seats. INDI alliance will form a strong and stable government on its own. (The PM face) will be decided on June 4..."

Uttar Pradesh, with its 80 Lok Sabha seats, is crucial in shaping India's Parliament. Out of the 80 constituencies in Uttar Pradesh, 63 seats are unreserved while 17 are reserved for SC candidates. For LIVE updates on UP Exit Poll Results, click here…

Congress National President Mallikarjun Kharge said, "INDIA Alliance will win at least 295 seats."

After INDI alliance leaders meet in Delhi, they have decided that all the INDI bloc parties will participate in the exit poll debates on television today evening.

The Exit Poll survey was conducted in all districts across all the states of India. The methodology is random stratified sampling using predominantly three techniques Field surveys, CATI, and IDIs with key people in districts and Lok Sabha Constituencies. We then use a probabilistic model to determine the number of seats a party is going to win from the estimated vote share.

The survey results have been adjusted in proportion to reflect the state and district population across age - groups, religion, gender and caste.

The questions in the survey were designed to reflect the current scenario electorally and politically and to gauge the critical factors that might play a role in the voting preference of a voter. There is error margin of 3%.

Exit polls are calculated using a combination of sampling methods and statistical analysis by various agencies. The process involves several key steps:

Sampling: Pollsters select a diverse group of voters from different regions to represent the entire population, ensuring they include individuals across various demographics.

Questioning: The chosen voters are asked about their vote and other basic information, such as age and residence.

Data Collection: The responses are gathered and recorded systematically.

Weighting: The collected data is adjusted to ensure it accurately reflects the population. For instance, if there is an underrepresentation of young voters, their responses might be given more weight to balance the sample.

Analysis: Experts analyze the data to make predictions about the election outcomes based on the voters' responses.

Margin of Error: The exit polls also calculate the margin of error to indicate the level of certainty or uncertainty in their predictions.

These predictions are then shared with the public.

The 2014 elections witnessed a historic victory for the BJP-led NDA, albeit with a notable discrepancy between exit poll predictions and actual outcomes. While exit polls correctly indicated the NDA's ascent to power, they underestimated the magnitude of its victory. On average, exit polls predicted the NDA to secure 283 seats, with the UPA trailing at 105 seats. However, the actual results saw the NDA triumphant with 336 seats, including 282 seats for the BJP, while the UPA secured only 60 seats, with Congress at 44.

The much-awaited Exit Polls for Lok Sabha Election 2024 will be broadcast on Republic TV and live-streamed on Republic digital platforms from 4 PM onwards on June 1. The digital users can tune in to Republic TV's YouTube channel to watch the poll of polls.

Republic TV LIVE TV: https://www.republicworld.com/livetv/
Republic World Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/live/ERDLMFd-ECE
 

In the 2019 elections, exit polls painted a picture of the anticipated electoral landscape, with various agencies offering their projections. On average, these exit polls predicted the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure around 306 seats, with the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) trailing at approximately 120 seats. However, the actual results surpassed these predictions, with the NDA clinching a commanding 352 seats, including 303 seats for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and the UPA securing 93 seats, with Congress at 52.
 

Just hours before the release of the Exit Poll 2024 results, election strategist Prashant Kishor reiterated his prediction regarding the performance of the BJP-led NDA in the Lok Sabha elections. He forecasted that the BJP could secure 303 seats, the same number they won in the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, or possibly slightly more.

BJP president J P Nadda claimed that the Congress' decision to not participate in exit poll debates amounts to an "unequivocal confirmation" that the opposition party has conceded the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. "Their hypocrisy is not lost on anyone. Let no one in Phase 7 waste their vote on them," he said.
 

The Congress has decided not to participate in any Lok Sabha exit poll debates on the television channels and said it does not want to indulge in speculation and slugfest for TRP. Congress spoksperson Pawan Khera said the voters have cast their votes and their verdict has been secured.

"The results will be out on 4th June. Prior to that, we do not see any reason to indulge in speculation and slugfest for TRP. The Indian National Congress will not participate in the debates on Exit Polls. The purpose of any debate should be to inform the people. We will happily partake in debates from 4th June onwards," Khera said in a statement.

Exit polls will be released starting at 6:30 pm after voting process concludes. Media houses will publish exit polls only once voting ends. The Election Commission had imposed a ban on exit polls from on April 19 until 6:30 PM on June 1, 2024.

An exit poll is a survey conducted after voting ends, aiming to predict the nation's mood and estimate how many seats each political party is likely to win. It is to be noted that exit polls are not the same as official election results. The official results of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be announced by the Election Commission of India on June 4.