Lok Sabha Exit Polls 2024: BJP Set To Overtake TMC In West Bengal, Predicts P-Marq

West Bengal Lok Sabha Exit Polls 2024: In a huge setback to Mamata Banerjee, BJP is expected to better its 2019 performance in West Bengal with both pollsters projecting BJP to be number one party in state. While P-Marq me a conservative estimate of 22 seats for BJP, Matrize predicted saffron party might touch 25 out of 42 seats.

In a first, BJP is set to cross TMC since first time Mamata Banerjee came to power in West Bengal back in 2011, both in vote-share and in seats, ringing warning bells for state-ruling party ahe of 2026 Vidhan Sabha Elections.

BJP is set to turn tables in South Bengal's Medinipur, hikari stronghold, which has three seats as compared to last time. For first time, hikaris, who have been with TMC till last Lok Sabha elections, have joined BJP. This, in turn, has turned out to be game-changer.

BJP's performance in West Bengal me helines in 2019 Lok Sabha elections as party surpassed all poll predictions and secured 18 out of 42 seats, gaining 16 seats. BJP swept North Bengal and me huge gains in South Bengal. This time around, BJP is slated to do well in TMC fortresses like East Medinipur with influential hikaris going over to BJP. According to our pollsters, BJP votes are more concentrated towards North, Central and South India. 

BJP's Performance Set To Improve, Likely To Surpass TMC In Bengal: Matrize

Matrize has predicted that BJP's vote-share is slated to grow by more than 3 per cent to 43.8 per cent while TMC's vote-share has gone down by more than 1 per cent. When translated into seats, BJP is projected to get anywhere between 20 to 25 seats while TMC's tally is expected to come down to 16 to 20 seats. Left and Congress have seen a decline of vote share and even number of seats are set to decline from 2 to 0 to 1.
 

BJP Number 1 Party In Bengal, Predicts P-Marq

P-Marq has predicted 22 seats for BJP and 20 seats for TMC. P-Marq has predicted TMC's vote-share to be at 44 per cent while BJP's vote-share has been predicted at 42 per cent.