Madhya Pradesh Exit Poll Result 2023 LIVE Updates: BJP and Congress in close race

voting for all 230 assembly constituencies in Mhya Presh took place on November 17 and results will be declared on December 3, 2023. ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Congress are main contenders in state apart from Aam Ami Party (AAP), Samajwi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) who want to make ir presence felt.

After three consecutive victories in Mhya Presh elections in 2003, 2008 and 2013, BJP lost to Congress in 2018 but stormed back to power in March 2020 when Kamal Nath-led government collapsed.

In this election, saffron party faces a significant challenge of overcoming incumbency factor. On or hand, Congress is raising alleged corruption in Shivraj Singh Chouhan-led government.

key candidates in Mhya Presh are CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan from Budhni, senior Congress leer Kamal Nath from Chhinddwara, Union Minister Narendra Singh Tomar from Dimani, BJP's Kailash Vijayvargiya, and Congress' Jitu Patwari from Rau among ors.

While Congress has declared veteran leer Kamal Nath as its CM candidate, BJP has left field wide open for chief ministerial aspirants. For a long time, CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan remained face of BJP. However, this time, in a change of strategy, saffron party has fielded three Union Ministers and four Members of Parliament (MPs) in an attempt to blunt anti-incumbency against Chouhan.

Mhya Presh Exit Poll Result 2023: BJP and Congress in close battle, P-Marq predicts 

P-Marq exit poll has predicted a neck-and-neck fight between Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Congress in Mhya Presh. Both BJP and Congress are forecasted to win between 103 and 122 seats respectively. or parties and independents may get 3 to 8 seats. Furrmore, vote share of BJP and Congress stands at 43.1 per cent. or parties and independents might get 13.8 per cent vote share.

P-Marq exit poll methodology

methodology is random stratified sampling using predominantly three techniques Field surveys, CATI, and IDIs with key people in districts and assembly constituencies. We n use a probabilistic model to determine number of seats a party is going to win from estimated vote share. survey results have been justed in proportion to reflect state and district population across age - groups, religion, gender and caste. questions in survey were designed to reflect current scenario electorally and politically and to gauge critical factors that might play a role in voting preference of a voter. re is error margin of 3%.

Disclaimer: methodology is random stratified sampling using predominantly three techniques Field surveys, CATI, and IDIs with key people in districts and assembly constituencies. Pollsters n use a probabilistic model to determine number of seats a party is going to win from estimated vote share.