National Approval Ratings: In Gujarat, BJP projected to hold its ground; Congress lags far behind

Ahead of the Lok Sabha elections in 2019, Republic TV, in association with CVoter, has released the National Approval Ratings to get a snapshot of the mood of the nation and answer the question: What would happen if results were held today? 

One of the biggest states to look for during the Lok Sabha elections will be Gujarat, the home state of PM Narendra Modi.

26 seats are up for grabs in Gujarat and the story persists that the BJP is projected to maintain its formidable hold over the state and the opposition is projected to fail to make any major inroads. 

In fact, the state has seen no major movement in terms of seat-share since the previous two editions of October and November. 

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Seat-share

Considered as a fortress of the BJP, the party demonstrated its hold in the state by winning all the 26 seats in 2014. Congress was left empty-handed in the previous elections but as per the National Approval Ratings of December, out of the 26 seats, the BJP is set to get 24 which is a 2 seat drop from 2014.

The 2 seats the BJP is slated to lose is being directly projected to be gained by the Congress and none for others. 

The seat-share statistics have been constant for October and November National Approval Ratings for the state.  

Vote-share

In terms of vote share as well, while the Congress is slated to gain about 5% from its 2014 dismal performance there has been no significant change in comparison with the November edition, with the BJP losing 0.6% vote-share and the Congress gaining 0.8%. 

According to the December National Approval Ratings, the BJP is projected to garner a vote-share of 54.2% followed by Congress with 38.9% vote-share and 6.9% for others. 

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(The results of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.)