National Approval Ratings: In Kerala UPA projected to make big gains, even as LDF and NDA struggle

With Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have released  National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on December 24, 2018. Out of 20 seats up for grabs in Kerala, this is what projections look like:

Out of 20 crucial seats in Kerala, INC+UDF alliance of UPA is projected to register major gains, while BJP is projected to t get any seats and LDF, which is ruling party in state, is projected to win 3 seats. 

In terms of vote-share, BJP is projected to up its 2014 vote share by 8.1% and take its vote-share to 19%, while Congress alliance is set to see a fall in vote share vis-a-vis 2014 and put up 39.9%. Its biggest challenger, LDF, is slated to more or less maintain its 2014 vote-share with a projection of 29.1% 

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Comparison with previous National Approval Ratings: 
 
Considering fact that Sabarimala has been a core issue in Kerala, where both BJP and Congress have stood with devotees against Supreme Court's verdict permitting women d 10-50 to offer prayers at temple for first time in centuries,  saffron party is projected to have been unable to make a mark. However, UPA is set to gain by 5 seats from its 2014 tally and one seat from vember edition.

That having been said, even though BJP has t been able to make serious inroads in terms of seat-share, in terms of vote-share, it has gained by 8.1% since 2014 and 1.9% from vember projections.

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