Published 09:23 IST, May 15th 2019
Here's when Monsoon is expected to hit North, South, East and west part of the Indian sub-continent. All dates here
Hilly states of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand are likely to perform better than the plains of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Delhi- NCR, the Skymet said.
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Monsoon is likely to arrive in Kerala on June 4, three days after its rmal onset date, marking official commencement of rainy season in country, private wear forecaster Skymet said Tuesday.
rmal onset date for monsoon over Kerala is June 1.
Skymet said monsoon will be "below rmal" in country with a Long Period Aver (LPA) of 93 per cent and an error margin of five per cent.
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"Arrival of monsoon over Andaman and Nicobar Islands will be on May 22, with an error margin of plus/minus 2 days. Southwest Monsoon 2019 is likely to make onset over Kerala on June 4, with an error margin of plus/minus 2 days. It seems that initial vancement of monsoon over peninsular India is going to be slow," Skymet CEO Jatin Singh said.
"All four regions are going to witness lesser than rmal rainfall, this season. Rainfall in East and rast India and central parts will be poorer than rthwest India and South Peninsula," Singh said.
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According to Skymet, re are 55 per cent chances of a below-rmal rainfall, which will have an influence of El Ni, a phemen linked to heating of Pacific waters.
East and rast India will get 92 per cent of LPA which falls under below rmal category. risk remains high for Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal, while it will be marginal for rast India, Skymet said.
rthwest India that comprises all rth Indian states will receive 96 per cent rainfall of LPA, which falls on borderline of rmal and below rmal rainfall category.
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Hilly states of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Presh and Uttarakhand are likely to perform better than plains of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Delhi- NCR, Skymet said. Central India is likely to receive rainfall of 91 per cent of LPA. Rainfall in Vidarbha, Marathwa, west Mhya Presh, and Gujarat will be "poorer than rmal".
This is likely to aggravate situation as Marathwa and several parts of Gujarat been facing farm distress and drought-like situation.
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Conditions will be more or less similar in South peninsula.
"rth interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema may see poor rainfall. Kerala and coastal Karnataka are likely to perform better," Skymet said.
09:23 IST, May 15th 2019