Published 22:04 IST, December 24th 2018
Five takeaways from the National Approval Ratings
With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on December 1, 2018.
- India News
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With the Lok Sabha 2019 elections inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on December 1, 2018.
Here are the five takeaways based on these National Approval Ratings numbers.
TAKEAWAY 1: With a little over 100 days left for the Lok Sabha elections, the BJP is projected to win 218 seats by itself. This means it falls short of 54 seats of the halfway mark. Thus alliances become not a choice but a compulsion for the party if it wants to stand a chance in 2019.
TAKEAWAY 2: The BJP and its present allies are projected to get 247 seats. The 'BJP plus' are still 25 seats short of the magic number, establishing that the BJP may have a few alliances but they aren’t enough to sail through 2019.
READ | National Approval Ratings: In Maharashtra, Congress-NCP Projected To Prove Masterstroke, BJP And Shiv Sena To Lose Out
TAKEAWAY 3: Rahul Gandhi and co would be wise to not take their recent win in the state assemblies as indicators for the big one in 2019, because even with the allies, the UPA is projected to win only 171 seats, which 100 seats fewer than the halfway mark in the Lok Sabha.
TAKEAWAY 4: The Others which make up 125 seat holders will play kingmaker this 2019 general elections.
TAKEAWAY 5: Post poll alliances may be the way to go with the best case scenario for the BJP being a post poll alliance with the YSRCP, the MNF, the BJD and the TRS easily pushing the NDA tally to 284 seats. Correspondingly for the UPA post poll alliances with the AIUDF, LDF, the SP, the BSP and the TMC may take the tally to 257 seats, its projected best case scenario.
Updated 22:28 IST, December 24th 2018