Published 23:28 IST, January 24th 2019
National Approval Ratings: Congress or BJP? Here are the projections for how the Lok Sabha 2019 elections may pan out
National Approval Ratings published by Republic TV and CVoter have captured the mood of the nation, answering the question: What would happen if elections were held today?
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political landscape has witnessed a significant transition ever since December edition of National Approval Ratings, majorly in terms of alliances and new entrants in political sphere. With an effort to form 'United Fronts' which appears to be a contest between those who were present at TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee's mega-rally in Kolkata, and those, like Telangana CM KCR, who weren't. Congress party w bringing in ar Gandhi-Nehru scion, Priyanka Gandhi into political picture after getting snubbed by SP-BSP alliance of Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati in Uttar Pradesh. While pro-mandir organisations like RSS and VHP persistently pushing BJP to bring in an Ordinance on Ram Mandir issue despite Supreme Court also currently hearing case.
National Approval Ratings published by Republic TV and CVoter have captured mood of nation, answering question: What would happen if elections were held today?
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Seat-Share:
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While in Parliamentary elections of 2014, BJP had secured a majority of seat share on its own winning 282 seats and NDA winning a total of 336 seats. According to January National Approval Ratings, BJP-led NDA is predicted to go down by 103 seats, by securing 233 seats. This down-slide is also reflected because ir ally in Maharashtra, Shiv Sena is predicted to come down to 4 seats, compared to 18 seats won in 2014.
On or hand, Congress lost by securing merely 44 seats and 60 UPA seats in Lok Sabha 2014 elections. In this edition, Congress-led UPA is projected to gain over a 100 seats compared to ir substandard performance in 2014, being projected to win 167 seats. Whereas Or parties are cumulatively projected to win 143 seats, predominately counting on Mahagatbandhan of Akhilesh Yadav's SP, Mayawati's BSP and RLD, that is predicted to secure 51 seats in Uttar Pradesh.
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Vote Share:
As far as vote share is concerned re is a difference of 5.4% between NDA and UPA. NDA is leading with 37.6% of vote share, followed by UPA at 32.2% and Ors at 30.2%
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January and December editions of National Approval Ratings have a wafer-thin difference between m. In December, NDA was projected to secure 37.7% of vote share and Congress-led UPA was at 32.8%
Here are National Approval Ratings for each state in order of number of seats represented in Lok Sabha:
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21:03 IST, January 24th 2019