National Approval Ratings: In Kerala, UPA predicted to make big gains leaving NDA and LDF in a rough patch

With 2019 Lok Sabha elections looming ever larger, political scenario in country is currently in a state of flux, with parties desperately figuring out seat-sharing terms, snubbing or accepting each or with respect to alliances, or fielding ir big names in various states. Republic TV and CVoter are back with National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. 

With 20 crucial seats in Kerala, here's projection for seat share and vote share: 

As per projection, INC+UDF alliance is projected to register major gains, while BJP is projected to t get any seats. As far as LDF is concerned, it is projected to gain 4 seats.

Seat Share:

• UPA: 16 seats
• NDA: 0 seats
• LDF: 4 seats

In terms of vote share, UPA stands with 40.1%, NDA with 19.7% and LDF with 29.3%. 

Vote Share:

• UPA: 40.1%
• NDA: 19.7%
• LDF: 29.3%
• Ors: 10.9%

Considering fact that Sabarimala has been a core issue in Kerala, where both BJP and Congress have stood with devotees against Supreme Court's verdict permitting women d 10-50 to offer prayers at temple for first time in centuries,  saffron party is projected to have been unable to make a mark. 

In vembers edition,  BJP was projected to up its 2014 vote share by 8.1% and take its vote-share to 19%, while Congress alliance saw a fall in vote share vis-a-vis 2014 and put up 39.9%. Its biggest challenger, LDF, was slated to more or less maintain its 2014 vote-share with a projection of 29.1%.

Read:  National Approval Ratings: In Kerala UPA Projected To Make Big Gains, Even As LDF And NDA Struggle

  election year 2019 started off with India’s opposition appearing largely unwilling to acquiesce to Rahul Gandhi's proposal of Congress serving as a platform for regional parties to come toger in order to defeat BJP. Despite Congress successes in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, in Uttar Pradesh, much-heralded Mahagathbandhan turned out to just be a 'Gathbandhan' as old enemies Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati left Congress out, forming an SP-BSP alliance. Left on its own, Congress resolved to contest every one of state's 80 seats and proceeded to formally induct Priyanka Gandhi Vadra into party, appointing her and Jyotiraditya Scindia as General Secretaries for Uttar Pradesh. Elsewhere, former Gujarat CM Shankarsinh Vaghela is to join NCP, while Congress alliance with TDP in Andhra Pradesh is also in doubt. Meanwhile, BJP and Shiv Sena may have witnessed a thaw in ir relationship with Maharashtra government sanctioning Rs 100 crore for a Balasaheb Thackeray memorial. 

On issues concerning large numbers of people, government passed a constitutional amendment giving a green signal to provide 10 percent reservation in jobs and educational institutions to ecomically weaker sections in general category, while numerous agrarian schemes that needn't necessarily be farm-loan waivers have also been spoken of in lead-up to Modi government's final budget.