National Approval Ratings: In politically complex Karnataka, it's likely to be a tie between UPA and NDA

With 2019 Lok Sabha elections looming ever larger, political scenario in country is currently in a state of flux, with parties desperately figuring out seat-sharing terms, snubbing or accepting each or with respect to alliances, or fielding ir big names in various states. Republic TV and CVoter are back with National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. 

In a politically significant Karnataka, here are projections for seat and vote share: 

In terms of seat share, in 28-seat state, UPA and NDA are likely to win an equal number of seats i.e. 14 seats each. However, this projection entails a 4-seat drop for NDA in comparison December approval projection. 

Seat Share:

• UPA: 14 seats
• NDA: 14 seats

Vote Share:

• UPA: 47.9%
• NDA: 44.0%
• Ors: 8.1%

Read: National Approval Ratings: Despite JD(S)-Congress Ruling Alliance In Karnataka, BJP Projected To Retain Single-largest Party Tag

In comparision to December's Approval Ratings, projection reveals BJP's vote share has gone down from 44.3% to 44%, while Congress is projected to have racked up mir gains, from 37.6% to 47.9%. 

election year 2019 started off with India’s opposition appearing largely unwilling to acquiesce to Rahul Gandhi's proposal of Congress serving as a platform for regional parties to come toger in order to defeat BJP. Despite Congress successes in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, in Uttar Pradesh, much-heralded Mahagathbandhan turned out to just be a 'Gathbandhan' as old enemies Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati left Congress out, forming an SP-BSP alliance. Left on its own, Congress resolved to contest every one of state's 80 seats and proceeded to formally induct Priyanka Gandhi Vadra into party, appointing her and Jyotiraditya Scindia as General Secretaries for Uttar Pradesh. Elsewhere, former Gujarat CM Shankarsinh Vaghela is to join NCP, while Congress alliance with TDP in Andhra Pradesh is also in doubt. Meanwhile, BJP and Shiv Sena may have witnessed a thaw in ir relationship with Maharashtra government sanctioning Rs 100 crore for a Balasaheb Thackeray memorial. 

On issues concerning large numbers of people, government passed a constitutional amendment giving a green signal to provide 10 percent reservation in jobs and educational institutions to ecomically weaker sections in general category, while numerous agrarian schemes that needn't necessarily be farm-loan waivers have also been spoken of in lead-up to Modi government's final budget.