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Published 20:10 IST, November 1st 2018

National Approval Ratings: Naveen Patnaik's BJD projected to fall as BJP to witness a remarkable rise in Odisha, here's the full scenario

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. 

Reported by: Daamini Sharma
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With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. In the state of Odisha, which holds 21 seats, BJP is appearing to be the biggest winner. Here's the projection for the state:

  • The BJP is slated to get 12 out of the 21 seats, the Congress is slated to get 3 and the BJD is to get only 6 seats. It’s the biggest upsurge for Modi and a big thud for regional stalwart Biju Patnaik if these projections are to go by
  • Let us look at the vote share, Amit Shah’s arithmetic seems to have paid off with the BJP projected to witness a 16.3% vote share from 21.5% in 2014, while simultaneously the vote share of both the Congress, BJD and others has all decreased, with the BJD projected to see a shocking fall of 10.8% in its vote share

COMPARISON WITH OCTOBER, 2018: Let us take a look at the national Approval Ratings for Maharashtra on a month on month basis:

  • The BJPs calculated attempt to make inroads into Odisha ahead of 2019 seems to be paying its dividends considering despite a projected fall of one seat from the last month the BJP is projected to be the single largest majority in the state
  • Should these numbers be the numbers we see it 2019, it will be the worst ever performance of the BJD in the Lok Sabha elections since its inception in the December of 1997  
  • Considering the fact that the even at the peak of the Modi wave the BJP only managed to get 1 seat in Odisha, these projections are a testament of Amit Shah’s ability to tear through a bastion and come at the top. In fact, this 1 seat projection would be the best ever performance of the BJP in the state in the Lok Sabha election

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE: In Electorally Critical November, Will BJP, Congress Or Mahagathbandhan Win If General Elections Are Held Today? All Predictions From The Biggest Poll Here

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with critical assembly elections in five states due in the next few weeks, November may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections. Even as the Prime Minister dedicated the world's tallest statue -- the Statue of Unity -- to the nation on the 143rd birth anniversary of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel, and a few days before that, commemorated Subhash Chandra Bose and the 75th anniversary of the Azad Hind Government, a massive war of words was triggered over appropriation of freedom icons. Additionally, the Supreme Court has delayed its hearings in the Ayodhya dispute, and will only decide in January when the hearings will take place. This has caused many among the pro-Mandir bent-of-mind, including the RSS, VHP and Hindu Mahasabha, to push the government to do whatever it can to build the Ram Mandir, with an ordinance on the matter the most frequently stated solution. In the last month has seen heated polemics over the events at the CBI, with the government acting on the CVC's recommendation to send the two top-most officers at India's premier investigative agency -- Rakesh Asthana and Alok Verma -- on leave after they had both accused the other of corruption.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.

 

Updated 20:10 IST, November 1st 2018

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