2024 Lok Sabha elections: Here's why 5 South Indian states do not matter

2024 Lok Sabha polls and South Indian politics - If this interesting subject is chosen for an in-depth analysis, two facts emerge. That 2024 results in se five states in South India are not to be a factor for formation of Union Government. Second, verdict in se five states will be assorted and split. 

Several new faces have emerged since 2019 in se five states. Spiritual politics and cine tinsel world play an important role in Andhra Presh and Tamil Nu. Pawan Kalyan and Joseph Vijay are big names in Andhra and in Tamil Nu. Politics in Sourn states are not confusing. But it is crystal clear. 2024 verdict will be a split verdict in each of five states. No clear sweep of Congress or BJP is expected. State parties say eight major regional satraps  dominate south politics.

If this is to be subject matter, n re is a peculiarity, especially for Tamil Nu and Karnataka. Out of five states in South, four are totally detached from each or. Though Andhra Presh and Telangana are both Telugu-speaking states, Telangana is too aggressive. Puducherry, which is a Union Territory, and Kerala are two extremes.  

Let us first take up Tamil Nu. 2024 Lok Sabha in this state is likely to spring a major surprise. Dravidian movement is fast fing away. And that could be visible in 2024 results from Tamil Nu. For first time in Tamil Nu politics, three new faces will determine winner of 2026 Tamil Nu assembly polls and new three faces or than DMK versus AIMK - MK Stalin or Edappi Palanisamy.

K Annamalai, BJP leer, Seeman Leer Naam Tamizhar Katchi and third, a star in cine world, Joseph Vijay are also in race. se three new faces will woo first-time and second-time voters. se three are bound to snatch away 25-30 per cent voters from Dravidian parties. If not in 2024 Lok Sabha polls, y will certainly be key factors in 2026 Tamil Nu assembly.

In Tamil Nu politics, vacuum of Karunanidhi and Jayalalitha, both tall personalities, are felt. Who will fill this slot? Will it be Narendra Modi and BJP with a nationalist outlook? Or Mallikarjun Kharge backed by Rahul Gandhi? But certainly after AIMK walked out of NDA in Tamil Nu, re is an olive branch being dangled by AIMK towards Congress. Such crucial decisions of change of parties in alliances are not possible. But one has to wait for results of five states' results to be out in first week of December. But time period from December to February 2024 is just three months - that alliances cannot be manipulated or altered with.

What will Andhra Presh throw out? This state is too interesting. Jagan Reddy still holds key. But his political decision to arrest archrival Chandrababu Naidu and timing were so perfect that Jagan Reddy’s YSRCP emerged as a powerful party. Short of apologising to PM Narendra Modi, Telugu Desam leer Naidu almost surrendered to BJP and to Modi.

future of Andhra Presh politics is divided into two personalities. One is Narendra Modi and or is Chandrababu Naidu. Of course Jagan Reddy is in centre stage. Congress is not a force at all, though it bifurcated state a dece ago. Congress does have a hold in Telangana, but that space BJP has been trying to redeem. Frequent visits of BJP top leers to Telangana was me to shatter strongman K Chandrasekhar Rao of Bharatiya Rashtriya Samiti. 

Now let us turn to Kerala. CPM is a dominant force re. How would Chief Minister Vijayan handle Congress, which is archrival. CPM and Left front want to decimate Congress in Kerala. Rahul Gandhi is an MP from Wayan in Kerala. 100-year-old CPM stalwart VS Achuthanandan stated that Rahul Gandhi is a "Amul baby" and CPM will defeat Rahul Gandhi in 2024. Insiders do share that staunch Congress leers are defecting towards CPM. Wher re will be a space for BJP or Narendra Modi in Kerala in 2024 is doubtful. 

Finally Karnataka is a crucial state for Congress. Will Chief Minister Siddharamaiah hold key to 2024 Lok Sabha results from Karnataka? answer is an emphatic no. re are bitter enemies for Chief Minister Siddharamaiah. Four factions in state Congress are keen to topple Siddharamaiah before 2024 Lok Sabha polls. authority of Kharge and three Gandhis are under political test in Karnataka. JDS has tactfully aligned with BJP for 2024 Lok Sabha polls. But re are efforts by JDS to topple Congress, whichever side you may look at, 28 seats of Lok Sabha from state of Karnataka is a major cake for any formation at New Delhi. BJP is bound to gain more in Lok Sabha due to voters' dejection with Congress.

In short, to sum it up, eir Rahul Gandhi or for that matter Narendra Modi will influence fragmented politics of Sourn India. Yes of course in next dece for four major states in south Tamil Nu, Telangana, Karnataka and Andhra Presh - only one national party that can claim to have a foothold is certainly Bharatiya Janata Party. First-time voters who were born and lived in Narendra Modi era from 2002 have seen digital revolution. 2024 is to be decided by digital children vote bank, especially from women folk.