Vodafone's future in India could be in doubt without the govt support

Vodafone on Tuesday said its future in India could be in doubt following the recent Supreme Court ruling on AGR. According to Vodafone, the company's future could be in darkness if forced to pay thousands of crores in statutory dues. 

Vodafone's operating loss from India business rose to 692 million euros in April-September from 133 million euros in the same period last year. Vodafone wrote off the carrying value of its share in the loss-making joint venture, Vodafone-India Ltd. The company said the 1.9 billion euros in the loss for the group during six months ended September 30 "primarily reflects losses in relation to Vodafone-Idea post an adverse judgement against the industry by the Supreme Court of India."

Vodafone chief executive Nick Read said the government needs to ease off on payment demands to ensure a future for Vodafone-Idea Ltd. "Financially there's been a heavy burden through unsupportive regulation, excessive taxes and on top of that we got the negative Supreme Court decision," he said on a call with reporters after first-half results. He added India had been "a very challenging situation for a long time".

Vodafone's future in India in darkness?

"It's a very critical situation," he said when asked if it made sense for Vodafone to remain in India without any relief package. "The government has stated its desire not to end up with a monopoly."

In the earnings statement, Vodafone-Idea Ltd. made no further commitment to equity in India business, which it said contributed zero value. The group saw free cash flow of around 5.4 billion euros versus previous guidance of at least 5.4 billion.

"In October, the Supreme Court in India ruled against the industry in a dispute over the calculation of licence and other regulatory fees, and Vodafone Idea is now liable for very substantial demands made by the Department of Telecommunications in relation to these fees," the company said in its earnings statement. "We are actively engaging with the government to seek financial relief for Vodafone Idea."

Along with the penalty and interest for late payment, the total liability for the telecom industry may run into Rs 1.4 lakh crore. Vodafone-Idea may have to pay a third of it.

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Vodafone said it has "no obligation" to fund Vodafone Idea Ltd losses and so it has "has recognised its share of estimated Vodafone Idea Ltd (VIL) losses arising from both its operating activities and those in relation to the (Supreme Court) judgement to an amount that is limited to the remaining carrying value of VIL, which is therefore reduced to nil." The group's carrying value was 1,392 million euros at March 31, 2019, and in May 2019, the group invested 1,410 million euros via a rights issue.

"Significant uncertainties exist in relation to VIL's ability to generate the cash flow that it needs to settle or refinance its liabilities and guarantees as they fall due, including those relating to the (Supreme Court) judgement. VIL is seeking relief from the Indian government, including, but not limited to, granting a waiver of interest and penalties relating to the judgement," the statement said.

It said as part of the agreement to merge Vodafone India and Idea Cellular, the parties agreed a mechanism for payments between Vodafone Group and VIL pursuant to the crystallisation of certain identified contingent liabilities in relation to legal, regulatory, tax and other matters, including the Adjusted Gross Revenue (AGR) dispute before the Supreme Court, and refunds relating to Vodafone India and Idea Cellular.

"Any future payments by the Group to VIL as a result of this agreement would only be made after satisfaction of contractual conditions. Having considered the possible future developments for VIL, the Group has concluded that there are significant uncertainties in relation to VIL's ability to settle the liabilities relating to the AGR judgement and has not assessed a cash outflow under the agreement to be probable at this time," it said.

This way, Vodafone-Idea Ltd. group's potential exposure is capped at Rs 8,400 crore.

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(With PTI inputs)