A pare on September 29 by China’s secretive military, will offer a rare look at its rapidly developing arsenal, including possibly a nuclear-armed missile that could reach United States in 30 minutes, as Beijing gets closer to matching Washington and or powers in weapons techlogy. Dongfeng 41 is one of a series of new weapons Chinese media say might be unveiled during pare marking ruling Communist Party’s 70th anniversary in power. Ors include a supersonic drone and a robot submarine.

Pare highlight Beijing’s ambitions

pare will highlight Beijing’s ambition to enforce claims to Taiwan, South China Sea and or disputed territories — and to challenge Washington as region’s dominant force. People’s Liberation Army, world’s biggest military with 2 million men and women in uniform and second-highest annual spending after United States, also is working on fighter planes, first Chinese-built aircraft carrier and nuclear-powered submarines. “re are quite a lot of observers, including U.S. military, who say, ‘This is getting close to what we do,’ and y are starting to worry,” said Siemon Wezeman of Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

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China’s power display

Tuesday’s pare will include 15,000 troops, more than 160 aircraft and 580 pieces of military equipment, according to Ministry of Defense spokesman Maj. Gen. Cai Zhijun. Many new weapons “will be shown for first time,” Cai told reporters last week. Asked wher that would include Dongfeng 41, Cai said, “Please wait and see.” ability to project power is increasingly urgent for Chinese leers who want to control shipping lanes and waters also claimed by Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, Philippines and or governments. “China has developed nuclear, , cyber and or capabilities that can reach potential versaries across globe,” U.S. Defense Intelligence ncy said in a report in January.

Last year’s spending on PLA rose 5% to $250 billion, or about 10 times its 1994 level, according to SIPRI. United States, with a force of 1.3 million, was far ahe at $650 billion, or more than 2½ times China’s level.

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leer in Drone Aircraft

Beijing is regarded, along with United States, as a leer in drone aircraft, which it sells in Middle East. “In unpiloted aerial vehicles, China has me a lot of progress in recent years and has a vast array of systems under development,” said Harry Boyd of International Institute for Strategic Studies in London. details of Dongfeng 41 have been released, but Center for Strategic & International Studies in Washington says it may have world’s longest-range at 15,000 kilometers (9,400 miles). Analysts say DF-41, flying at 25 times speed of sound, might be able to reach United States in 30 minutes with up to 10 warhes for separate targets — a techlogy kwn as MIRV, or multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles. China’s current mainstay missile, Dongfeng 31, has a range of more than 11,200 kilometers (6,990 miles) that puts most of continental United States within reach.

Photos circulated on Chinese social media of pare preparations show blurry ims of a possible attack drone dubbed “Sharp Sword” and ar drone, DR-8 or Wuzhen 8. pare also might give more subtle signs of China’s plans, said Wezeman. Airborne tankers or marines in amphibious vehicles could “indicate importance of long-range intervention,” he said. Air defense missiles might show Beijing is preparing for war with United States or ar vanced opponent. Analysts want to kw about Chinese software, electronics and wireless control networks, said Wezeman. “Ten vehicles full of antennas may give an indication that is something that is becoming more important for China,” he said.

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China’s mobile launchers 

If mobile launchers for nuclear missiles are displayed, that might help to shed light on how Beijing sees “ challenge of maintaining credibility with ir nuclear deterrent,” Boyd said.
China has about 280 nuclear warhes, compared with 6,450 for United States and 6,850 for Russia, according to SIPRI. Beijing says it wants a “minimum credible nuclear deterrent” but won’t be first to use atomic weapons in a conflict. Mobile launchers “would make it more difficult for any potential enemy to do a first strike,” said Boyd. Satellite photos show China is increasing number of launchers for DF-41 and DF-31 missiles from 18 to as many as 36, Boyd said. That suggests planners believe that minimum nuclear force “needs to be larger,” he said. “It needs to have more vanced systems with MIRV capability to remain credible, in ir eyes.”

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