Published 08:12 IST, October 25th 2024
Donald Trump Takes Narrow Lead Over Kamala Harris in US Presidential Polls Survey
In the seven battleground states, Trump leads 48 per cent to 47 per cent, within four per cent margin of error for that portion of the poll.
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Washington: Republican presidential candidate and former president Donald Trump has taken a narrow le over his Democratic rival and Vice President Kamala Harris ahe of vember 5 elections, according to a survey.
A national survey conducted by Wall Street Journal said that Trump is w leing Harris by two percent points, 47 per cent to 45 per cent. Similarly, as per a CNBC All-America Ecomic Survey, Trump holds a 48 per cent to 46 per cent le over Harris within poll’s 3.1 per cent margin of error, which is unchanged from August.
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In seven battleground states, Trump les 48 per cent to 47 per cent, within four per cent margin of error for that portion of poll, news channel said.
According to RealClearPolitics, which tracks all major national and regional polls, Harris has a slender le of 0.3 percent points over Trump at national level. On or hand, Trump has a le of 0.9 percent points in battleground states. battleground states for 2024 presidential elections are Arizona, Neva, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, rth Carolina and Georgia.
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Kalshi, an American financial exchange and prediction market based for future events like elections, where legalised betting is taking place, has given Trump a le over Harris. According to this betting market, Trump has 61 per cent chances of winning election, while Harris has 39 percent.
Wall Street Journal said views of Harris have turned more negative since August, when equal shares of voters viewed her favourably and unfavourably. “By contrast, views of Trump have turned rosier. Voters recall his time as president more positively than at any point in this election cycle, with 52 per cent approving and 48 per cent disapproving of his performance in office—a four-point positive job rating that contrasts with 12-point negative rating for Harris,” financial daily reported.
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Similarly, CBS News said Trump has improved his favourability ratings. “His -13-point net favourability rating (positive minus negative) from August has improved to -6 nationally. Views on Harris are only a bit less negative at -10, compared with -8 in August. (She h risen to +3 in September in NBC poll, but w appears to have given up her post-convention gains.) Harris fares better in battleground states with a -5 net favourability rating, equal to Trump’s,” it said.
“Trump’s vant is because he’s winning men by more than he’s losing women,” said Micah Roberts, partner with Public Opinion Strategies, which served as Republican pollster for survey. “It’s a difference because of younger men, and vant among younger men is strong, and it’s just t as strong for Harris among younger women, and older women especially,” he told CNBC.
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Meanwhile, more than 31 million Americans have alrey voted nearly 12 days ahe of general elections. Of se 13.6 million have used “in-person” while 17.7 million have turned in ir mail-in-ballots. Among m include former president Barack Obama.
08:03 IST, October 25th 2024