Published 17:15 IST, August 12th 2024
Israeli Intelligence Believes Iran Could Attack Israel Within Days
The timing of this potential attack is critical, as it could disrupt the planned Gaza hostage and ceasefire negotiations set for Thursday.
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New intelligence from Israeli community indicates that Iran may be gearing up for a direct attack on Israel within coming days, following recent assassination of Hamas' political leer in Tehran. This information is based on two sources with direct knowledge of situation, as per a report from Axios. This updated assessment, reflects a significant shift in Israeli intelligence community’s understanding of Iran’s intentions.
timing of this potential attack is critical, as it could disrupt planned Gaza hostage and ceasefire negotiations set for Thursday. Israeli officials have described se talks as a "now-or-never" opportunity for reaching a deal with Hamas. However, one source reportedly noted that situation remains "still fluid."
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Until last week, Israel believed Iran hn't finalized timing
Just last week, Israeli intelligence believed that Iran h not yet finalized timing or nature of its response to assassination. At that time, international pressure and internal debates were thought to be factors that might delay or limit Iran's retaliation. Iran’s Supreme Leer Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was reportedly considering postponing or restraining response.
Despite this, Iran’s mission to UN issued a statement on Friday, saying, "we hope that our response will be timed and conducted in a manner not to detriment of potential ceasefire."
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Israel believes Iran is planning a large-scale attack
On Sunday, Israeli Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant communicated with U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, expressing concerns that Iranian military preparations suggest a large-scale attack may be imminent. A source with knowledge of conversation reportedly confirmed se preparations.
Israeli intelligence continues to believe, that at first, Hezbollah will launch an initial retaliatory strike following assassination of its top military commander in Beirut. Iran could n follow with a direct attack of its own. According to Israeli intelligence, se attacks are expected to be larger in scale than one conducted by Iran last April, potentially involving missiles and drones targeting military installations in central Israel, including areas near civilian population centers.
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Gallant hinted at this possibility during a visit to an Israel Defense Forces unit on Sunday, stating that Iran and Hezbollah "are threatening to harm us in a way y haven't done in past." He ded, "I hope that y will rethink and not le to outbreak of war on ditional fronts. We do not want this, but we must be prepared."
17:15 IST, August 12th 2024