Trump vs Harris: Who’s Winning the Race To White House? Pollsters Answer

Washington: With less than 48 hours until US election and over 77.6 million votes already cast, several surveys so far has indicated that Democrat Presidential candidate Kamala Harris has a slight lead over former US president and Republican candidate Donald Trump . 

However, re are many or surveys which suggest that Donald Trump is leading in majority of swing states pointing towards a tight race. re is almost difference in ir polling numbers, leading analysts to hesitate in making any bold predictions.

Elections Too Close To Call

Most polls indicate a virtual deadlock, suggesting that election is likely to be historically close, both nationally and in seven swing states where outcome is expected to be determined.

However, a surprising boost for Kamala Harris came from Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll on vember 2, which showed her leading Trump. This shift is attributed to likely female voters in a state that Trump won easily in both 2016 and 2020.

Harris Gains Lead In Iowa As Per Surveys

In those previous elections, Trump secured Iowa by more than 9 percent points in 2016 and 8 points in 2020. recent poll, conducted with 808 likely voters between October 28 and 31, shows Harris ahead of Trump by 44% to 47% in Iowa, a state that has leaned heavily Republican in recent years.

Although this result falls within 3.4 percent point margin of error, it represents a table shift from a September Iowa Poll, which had Trump leading by 4 points, according to a report by Reuters.

Conversely, Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense survey, conducted with a similar number of likely voters between vember 1 and 2, reported a different outcome, showing Trump ahead of Harris by 10 points. This poll also has a 3.4 percent point margin of error. Emerson survey indicated that Trump has strong support among men and independents, while Harris is performing well among voters under 30.

On vember 3, a final New York Times/Siena poll highlighted mir changes in swing states, but all results remained within margin of error, as reported by AFP.

Donald Trump Rejects Iowa Survey

“I'm t down in Iowa. My enemies want to pull me down. se are fake polls," Trump asserted as US Election 2024 entered its last leg.

Whoever wins Iowa will collect six Electoral College votes. A total of 270 are needed to capture White House. Both parties have been concentrating ir efforts during closing days of ir campaigns on “battleground" states such as rth Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

Trump Leading In Majority Swing States 

In a significant boost for former President Donald Trump, a recent survey conducted just before vember 5 presidential elections reveals that he is ahead of his Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris, in all key swing states. polls indicate that Trump is leading in all seven swing states, garnering approximately 49% support.