American Professor, famous for accurately predicting US elections, says Trump will lose

An American historian, famous for accurately predicting winner of US presidential elections since 1984, has predicted 2019 election results in favour of Democratic minee Joe Biden. American University professor Allan Lichtman uses 13 historical factors or "keys" to call an election result and h successfully predicted surprise win for incumbent Donald Trump in 2016.

Lichtman has authored a book titled Keys To White House which talks about 13 “keys” which includes four political, seven performance, and two personality factors to arrive at a result. He looks at underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. blurb of book says Lichtman dispels much of mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many tritional assumptions.

" keys predict that Trump will lose White House," said Lichtman in a New York Times video op-ed released on August 5.

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Predicted impeachment

professor h t only rightly called a surprise win for Trump in 2016 elections, but he h also predicted that US President would be impeached. House of Representatives impeached US President earlier this year for alleged misuse of his official powers to pressure a foreign government to interfere in US elections for his personal political gain. However, he was acquitted by Republican-controlled Senate.

Lichtman identified 13 keys for winning White House and each key is a binary statement which asks for True/False as input. If six or more keys are false, prediction system argues that incumbent would lose election. historian said that Trump h only four negative keys in late 2019 but handling of coronavirus crisis has pushed negative keys to six. Trump will be up against former Vice President Joe Biden, who is currently looking for a running mate.  

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