Published 13:44 IST, September 30th 2020
US elections 2020: A look at key swing states as Biden gains on Trump nationally
With US election fast approaching, and with voters already casting ballots, new national polls and swing states surveys are being released almost every day.
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With US Presidential election fast approaching, and with voters in many states already casting ballots, new national polls and swing states surveys are being released almost every day. Many polls in recent weeks were conducted wholly or partially before Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death, so it still remains to be seen how Trump’s push to fill her seat with Amy Coney Barrett will affect race.
What are swing states?
key for eir party to win, however, still depends on specific battleground states. re have been several swing states, that over recent elections have gone both ways. se states hold key to winning presidential election.
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As per reports, this year rth Carolina, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona could all play an important role in election's outcome. aforementioned states are ones which Trump won narrowly against Hillary Clinton in 2016. In a bid to win re-election, it is crucial for Trump to retain se states.
On or hand, according to several surveys, Democratic presidential minee Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in national polls. However, it still doesn't guarantee Biden’s victory. presidential voting system assigns each state a number of electoral college votes, which go to state’s victory regardless of margin of victory, a handful swing states will probably decide election and be targeted heavily by campaigners.
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Biden ahead of Trump in swing states
If Biden were to win every state along with seven battleground states in which he is currently leading Trump, he would walk away with at least a 347 electoral votes and a win requires only 270 electoral votes. According to RealClearPolitics poll aver, Biden is currently tied with Trump in Iowa, lagging by one per cent point in Georgia, which is a state Democrats haven’t carried since 1992 general election.
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For Trump to win upcoming election, he would likely need to win at least five of states in which Biden currently leads, including Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, rth Carolina, and Ohio. If Republican leader wins, he can likely afford to lose battleground states like Michigan, Wisconsin, where Biden is currently leading.
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According to reports, like Hilary Clinton four years ago, Biden, however, hasn’t topped 50 per cent in most battleground state poll avers. He is over 50 per cent only in Maine, Minnesota and Wisconsin. This means that re are eugh undecided or third-party party voters in most battleground states to potentially swing those states to Trump. Currently, Biden, however, is ahead of Trump nationally.
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13:45 IST, September 30th 2020