Published 22:01 IST, November 6th 2024
California: America's UP, but Not the Political Powerhouse It Seems
Uttar Pradesh (UP) and California share similarities—both hubs of innovation, culture, and economic power.
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US Elections Results 2024: A spokesperson for U.S. envoy Eric Garcetti said “California is Uttar Presh to USA.” Uttar Presh (UP) and California share similarities—both hubs of invation, culture, and ecomic power. Yet, re is one crucial distinction: ir political influence.
In India, ro to power in Delhi often runs through Uttar Presh. With 80 seats in 543-member Lok Sabha, UP is most consequential state in national political arena. party that wins big in UP usually has upper hand in forming government at Centre, ultimately deciding who will be India’s Prime Minister.
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In contrast, while California holds a dominant position in United States due to its sheer size and ecomic clout, its political significance is far less fluid. California, with 54 electoral votes— most of any U.S. state—has long been a stronghold of Democratic Party. While its vote is crucial, it is t a battleground state that could swing outcome of a presidential election.
California's Predictable Democratic Leaning
In 2024 U.S. election, Democratic candidate Kamala Harris is expected to easily carry California, just as Joe Biden did in 2020, securing 64% of vote to Donald Trump 's 35%. state’s overwhelming support for Democratic candidates means that California’s 54 electoral votes are more of a given than a decisive swing.
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This predictable loyalty has led to California's position as a "safe" state for Democrats, leaving little room for surprise. In dition to its electoral votes, California also holds a strong Democratic presence in both U.S. Senate seats, majority of U.S. House seats, and goverrship, alongside supermajorities in its state legislature.
Uttar Presh: Political Kingmaker
Unlike California, Uttar Presh (UP) plays an entirely different role in India's political landscape. state’s 80 Lok Sabha seats make it a key battleground in India’s general elections. As most populous state in country, UP holds significant sway in deciding which party will control Parliament, and by extension, who will become Prime Minister.
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electoral volatility in UP ensures that it remains a crucial prize in national elections. In 2024 Lok Sabha election, Uttar Presh’s results are expected to be pivotal. BJP ’s 2019 landslide victory, where y secured 62 out of 80 seats, stands in stark contrast to ir underwhelming performance in 2024, where y clinched only 36 seats. That shift in fortunes dramatically impacted India's political balance, highlighting UP’s importance in national elections.
t only does UP decide course of national politics through its Lok Sabha seats, but it also holds symbolic weight as birthplace of several former Prime Ministers, from Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira Gandhi to more recent leers like VP Singh and Chandra Shekhar.
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In U.S., presidential election outcome is decided by Electoral College, where each state is awarded a certain number of electoral votes based on its population. California’s 54 votes are significant, but because state’s allegiance to Democratic Party is well established, outcome of California’s vote is rarely in question.
As a result, while California plays a key role in cementing Democratic victories, its predictability diminishes its power to shift balance of entire nation’s political direction. Even if California’s voters overwhelmingly back a candidate, ir vote is often a foregone conclusion, a component of overall tally, but t necessarily a game-changer.
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California: UP of U.S.?
While both California and Uttar Presh are vital to ir respective countries' ecomies, cultures, and electorates, California lacks political unpredictability and strategic significance that UP holds in India. In Indian politics, UP’s volatile nature ensures it can alter entire national landscape, making it cornerstone of electoral strategies for all major political parties. In U.S., however, California’s solid Democratic support makes it a dependable, though t pivotal, state in presidential race.
In U.S. presidential race, swing states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and Michigan ultimately hold power to decide winner. California, for all its size and importance, doesn’t have that same role. In game of politics, UP remains true kingmaker, while California is a reliable, though n-decisive, player.
16:48 IST, November 6th 2024