Published 16:53 IST, August 22nd 2024
Kennedy's Exit will Boost Harris' Campaign, says 'Nostradamus' of US Polls
Lichtman believes that Kennedy’s exit and subsequent endorsement of former President Donald Trump would help Harris.
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Allan Lichtman, rewned for his accurate predictions of U.S. presidential elections, has shared his insight on how Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s departure from 2024 race could benefit Vice President Kamala Harris.
Lichtman, kwn as "stramus" of U.S. elections, has successfully predicted nine out of last ten presidential contests, including Ronald Reagan's re-election during an ecomic recession and Bill Clinton's victory over George H.W. Bush.
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Lichtman thinks Kennedy's endorsement of Trump will help Harris
In a recent YouTube livestream, Lichtman explained that Kennedy’s exit and subsequent endorsement of former President Donald Trump would actually support Harris's campaign. According to Lichtman’s election prediction system, Kennedy’s endorsement “has thing to do with keys - (it) doesn't turn a key one way or or.” Lichtman was referring to his “13 keys to White House,” a method that has revolutionized election forecasting.
Newsweek reported that Lichtman mentioned he has t yet definitively assessed "third party" key but suggested that Kennedy's chances of rebounding are slim. “It certainly doesn't look like (Kennedy) is going to rebound,” Lichtman said.
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vant Harris?
Earlier this month, Lichtman expressed a preference for Kamala Harris over her Republican opponent, Donald Trump. He told News Nation that “a lot would have to go wrong for Harris to lose,” ting that Democrats currently hold six of 13 keys required for a successful presidential campaign. Lichtman pointed out that factors like a strong ecomy, policy changes, and absence of major controversies are in Harris's favor.
However, Lichtman also ted that Democrats lost three keys with transition to Harris, including "incumbency" and "charisma" keys. He explained that significant Democratic defeat in 2022 midterms h cost m “party mandate.” Despite se challenges, Lichtman believes that for Harris to be defeated, Democrats would need to lose three ditional key seats, which he considers unlikely.
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Lichtman plans to make his official prediction for 2024 presidential race after Democratic convention.
16:53 IST, August 22nd 2024