Republic Double Exit Poll For Nagaland: NDA projected to retain lone seat, UPA likely to draw blank say CVoter and Jan Ki Baat

With the completion of the seventh and final phase of voting on Sunday in seven states and one union territory of India, the polling in the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls - the largest exercise in democratic franchise anywhere in the world - has officially come to an end. With an estimated 900 million citizens voting in thousands of polling booths in every corner of the country, what remains now is the final vote-counting which will encapsulate the results of 39 days of voting and determine the composition of the 17th Lok Sabha, and onwards from there, the next government of India. However, before that moment of truth on May 23, the Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - the mega double exit poll in collaboration with the country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter. 

After conducting extensive on-ground surveys all across the country following each of the seven phases of the 2019 polls, the double Republic Exit Poll presents a projection of how the seat-shares and vote-shares could turn out for each of the states and union territories of India, and put together, project whether the BJP and NDA will be able to repeat their historic mandate of 2014 and conversely, whether the Congress, UPA will be able to make a fightback from reaching a historic low.

Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll Projection: NDA Will Form The Government, Likely To Cross 300+ Mark Comfortably; Congress To Fall Short Of 100

Nagaland:

First time in 15 years Naga People's Front, a party that has dominated Nagaland politics has not fielded any candidate in the Lok Sabha polls. Four candidates are in the fray for the one seat in Nagaland, namely former Chief Minister K L Chishi from Congress, sitting MP Tokheho Yepthomi from Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP), which is supported by BJP, Hayithung Tungoe from National People's Party (NPP) and M.M Thromwa Konyak of Indian Christian Secular Party (ICSP), who is running as an independent. It is the first time in 15 years that NPF has not backed BJP in the state; and the first time it will support arch-rival’s Congress’s candidate, veteran leader K L Chishi.

Here are the predictions for Nagaland:

As per CVoter and Jan Ki Baat projections, BJP is predicted to retain the sole seat in Nagaland whereas for Congress it is another loss as per the predictions.

CVoter:

Seat Share:

• UPA: 0 seats
• NDA: 1 seat

Vote Share:

• UPA: 13.6%
• NDA: 50.1%

Jan Ki Baat:

• NDA: 1
• UPA: 0

Here's how Nagaland voted in the last three elections in the state:

In the 2014 General Elections, NDA won the sole seat in Nagaland.