Republic Double Exit Poll for Jharkhand: CVoter projects tilt towards UPA, Jan Ki Baat says BJP likely to be ahead

Thirty-eight days after it began, the polling in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections has concluded on Sunday, bringing to an end the largest festival of democracy anywhere in the world. Spread across seven phases throughout the 29 states and 7 Union Territories, the 2019 elections will decide the fate of the 542 Lok Sabha seats (excluding the Vellore constituency where elections were countermanded over alleged use of cash by DMK). Now, the final chapter in the polls remains as the country awaits to know the composition of the 17th Lok Sabha which and consequently, the next government of India. Ahead of the critical vote-counting on May 23, however, amid the slog overs of the general elections, Republic Media Network has brought to its viewers a mega double exit poll which presents a projection on what the final outcome may be.

India's biggest double exit poll, conducted on-ground at polling booths across the country by the nation's biggest pollsters CVoter and Jan Ki Baat, presents a statistically significant projection for the country, including granularity to the level of individual states and union territories.

Jharkhand:

The electoral fortunes of 42 candidates including that of former Chief Minister and Union Minister Shibu Soren was sealed as the last phase of 2019 General elections concluded in Jharkhand. Altogether 45,64,681 electors, including 22,00,119 female and 21 third gender voters are eligible to exercise their franchise, an Election Commission release said. Shibu Soren, an eight-time sitting parliamentarian is in the fray from Dumka seat once again. The JMM leader had defeated his BJP challenger twice in 2009 and 2014. But what will 2019 bring for BJP as far as the state of Jharkhand is concerned? 

Here are the projections for the state of Jharkhand: 

Now, as per CVoter projections, NDA is projected to win 6 seats in the state, while UPA (JMM-Cong) predicted to gain 8 seats with JMM following behind with 5 seats and INC with 3 seats. However, the political weather in Jharkhand may favour INC with Congress and JMM's alliance concluding with a tally of 8 seats together.

According to Jan Ki Baat projection, the picture of Jharkhand is different. Against all odds, NDA is projected to take lead with 8-9 seats in its kitty with UPA  just reaching a total of 5-6 seats. 

C-Voter:

Here's the vote share projection:

• NDA- 43.1%
• UPA- 45.3%

Jan Ki Baat projection:

Here's the seat share projection:

• NDA- 9-8 seats
• UPA-  3-4 seas
• JMM- 1 seat

Here's how Jharkhand voted in the last three elections in the state:

The voter turnout in Jharkhand reached 66.64% in the last phase of 2019 Lok Sabha Elections. In the 2014 General election, the voter turn out was 63.87%.

 The election story so far:

The 2019 elections saw high-octane electric campaigning from both sides as the BJP went hammer and tongs, expressing confidence at each turn that it would not only repeat but also better its tally of 282 votes from five years earlier, whereas the Congress and other Opposition parties, especially West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee also campaigned heavily though without being able to make any convincing show of unity. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in the Parliament, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in the 2019 polls.

While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in the office, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in the 2019 polls with the elections also marking the entry of his sister Priyanka Gandhi Vadra as an official member of the Congress.  

There were controversies galore over the course of the polls, ranging from poll violence being witnessed in each of the 7 phases of voting in Bengal, to some shocking statements from leaders across parties, with the likes of Azam Khan, Yogi Adityanath, Maneka Gandhi and others being struck down on by the Election Commission, and others, like Sam Pitroda, Sadhvi Pragya and Kamal Haasan triggering mass outrage. 

A number of Republic Media Network newsbreaks especially set the agenda for the polls, including the first interview of the Prime Minister's election campaign to Republic's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami and his final campaign interview to Executive Editor Abhishek Kapoor. Alongside these were the sensational #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed themselves willing to compromise the interests of those whom they claim to represent, the Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed the falsehood in the Congress' farm loan-waiver promise, and numerous others.

The vote counting for the 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for non-stop coverage of the sensational conclusion to the general elections.