Poll of Exit Polls 2023: Who will win, who will lose?

Advantage BJP in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh while Congress is set to return to power in Chhattisgarh and pull off a surprise win in Telangana, predicts the aggregate of nine exit poll results on Thursday. In Mizoram, local parties are set to have a huge advantage over national parties like BJP and Congress with the incumbent MNF is in close fight with the main opposition ZPM. The north-eastern state might be headed for a hung assembly, according to the poll of polls.

Poll of Exit Poll Results 2023: 

CHANAKYA Exit Polls 

*The pollster predicts 68 seats for the Congress in Telangana. The BRS, on the other hand, is expected to bag 40 seats while BJP and AIMIM will likely land 4 and 6 seats, respectively. 

*In Chhattisgarh, the pollster predicts 57 seats for the Congress, while the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to land 33 seats.

P-MARQ Exit Polls 

*The Indian National Congress (INC) looks set to form government in Telangana with the party winning a minimum of 58 seats and a maximum of 71 seats. The next in race is the BRS, which will likely land between 37 and 51 seats. The AIMIM stands next with the party expected to bag 6–8 seats, followed by the BJP, which is trailing with a count of minimum two seats likely to go in its kitty. 

*There is a strong competition between the BJP and the Congress in Madhya Pradesh, with each party predicted to land between 103 and 122 seats.

*The BJP seems to be ahead of the Congress in Rajasthan with the party landing somewhere between 105 and 125 seats.  The INC will likely bag 69 - 81 seats.

*In Chhattisgarh, the Indian National Congress (INC) is likely to form government with the party expected to bag 46 - 54 seats, while the BJP is expected to land somewhere between 35 and 42 seats.

*The The Mizo National Front (MNF) is leading in Mizoram with the party expected to bag 14 -20 seats, while the Zoram People's Movement Party (ZPM) will likely land between 9 and 15 seats. The Congress, however, will likely manage 7-13 seats in its kitty.

MATRIZE Exit Polls

*The pollster is predicting big win for the Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) in Rajasthan.

*A majority win for the BJP is also on the cards in Madhya Pradesh. 

*The Congress party is likely to win the Chhattisgarh assembly election with 44+ seats.

*In Mizoram, the pollster shows clear win for CM Zoramthanga’s Mizo National Front party (MNF), which is predicted to get 17-22 seats. The Congress will likely land between 7 and 10 seats, and the BJP could bag 1-2 seats. The ZPM, on the other hand, is predicted to land between 7 and 12 seats.

Five states went to polls in November. While polling in Telangana ended on Thursday evening, it was held earlier in the month in Mizoram, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. Results of the elections will be declared on December 3.

Earlier today, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged the people of Telangana to vote in record numbers in the assembly polls and strengthen the festival of democracy. Polling began at 7AM in the 35,655 polling stations to elect 119 members of the Telangana Legislative Assembly, with voters queuing up to exercise their franchise amid tight security.

Meanwhile, Rajasthan Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot said he was confident of a Congress win in the assembly polls, adding that the BJP would not form the government in any of the five states. The Congress in Rajasthan is the only government in the country which has no anti-incumbency factor against it, he stressed.  

Earlier on Wednesday, the ruling BJP in Madhya Pradesh alleged that anti-social elements had captured two booths in the Ater assembly constituency of the Bhind district in recent elections and demanded re-polling at these booths. A memorandum was submitted to the MP Chief Electoral Officer demanding that the counting of votes be stopped at booth numbers 11 and 12 (at Khadit) and repolling ordered, a BJP spokesperson said, claiming that the "proof" of booth-capturing was furnished to the Election Commission.

On the other hand, former MP chief minister and senior BJP leader Uma Bharti said she does not "rely" on exit polls. The single-phase election to 230 assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh was held on November 17.

(Methodology of exit polls: The methodology is random stratified sampling using predominantly three techniques - Field surveys, CATI, and IDIs with key people in districts and assembly constituencies. Pollsters then use a probabilistic model to determine the number of seats a party is going to win from the estimated vote share.)
 

Watch the full LIVE coverage of the Poll of Exit Polls 2023 here.