UP Exit Polls 2024: Republic-PMARQ, Matrize Predict 69-72 Seats For BJP+ With 55.6% Vote Share

UP Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Polls Result 2024: The 2024 Republic-Matrize and P-MARQ Exit Poll results for Uttar Pradesh, where elections were held across 80 seats in seven phases, predicted a sweeping victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led NDA with 69-74 seats. This victory is attributed to the effective governance of the Modi-Yogi double-engine government, which has been lauded for its development initiatives and strong leadership. The actual counting of votes for the Lok Sabha polls and Assembly elections is scheduled for June 4, after which the Election Commission of India (ECI) will declare the final results. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP had secured a landslide victory, winning 63 seats in Uttar Pradesh. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) followed with nine seats, while the Samajwadi Party (SP) won five seats. Apna Dal managed to secure two seats, and the Congress won a single seat. 

Republic-Matrize Exit Poll

• BJP projected to win: 69-74 seats out of 80.
• INDI alliance projected to win: 6-11 seats.

Republic TV – P MARQ Exit Poll

• BJP projected to win: 69 seats.
• INDI alliance projected to win: 11 seats.

Uttar Pradesh, with its 80 Lok Sabha seats, is crucial in shaping India's Parliament.  Out of the 80 constituencies in Uttar Pradesh, 63 seats are unreserved while 17 are reserved for SC candidates. Uttar Pradesh's importance is underscored by its history of giving eight Prime Ministers, reinforcing the saying that "the road to Delhi goes through UP." 

P Marq, Matrize Exit Polls Results 2024 For Uttar Pradesh

• As per Republic-PMarq exit poll predictions, the Modi-Yogi double engine govt is projected to win 69 of the total 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh, INDI on the other hand is expected to bag 8. 

Dismissing the exit poll predictions, Congress spokesperson Supriya Shrinate said,“These are Narendra Modi's exit polls. The exit poll from the public gives 295 seats to INDIA, and this number will only increase."

What exit polls had predicted for UP in 2019?

In the 2019 Lok Sabha election exit poll latest news had varied predictions for Uttar Pradesh, but most indicated a strong performance by the BJP-led NDA. Here are some of the predictions from different exit polls:

• Times Now-VMR: Predicted that the BJP-led NDA would win 58 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan (SP-BSP-RLD) would secure 20 seats, and the INC would get 2 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India: Forecasted 62-68 seats for the BJP-led NDA, 10-16 seats for the Mahagathbandhan, and 1-2 seats for the INC.
• Republic-CVoter: Estimated 38-45 seats for the BJP-led NDA, 26-33 seats for the Mahagathbandhan, and 1-2 seats for the INC.
  While the predictions varied in the exact numbers, the general consensus was that the BJP-led NDA would perform strongly in Uttar Pradesh, though the Mahagathbandhan was expected to make significant inroads.

What Happened in the 2019 Lok Sabha Elections in UP?

In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-led NDA secured a dominant victory with 64 seats. The Mahagathbandhan alliance, consisting of the BSP, SP, and RLD, managed to win 15 seats, and the INC-led UPA could secure only one seat. The big question this year is: Can the BJP-led NDA replicate its 2019 success? Let's see what the exit polls predict.  

Uttar Pradesh Exit Poll Results 2024: Key Factors to Consider

Performance of BJP-led NDA: The party's ability to maintain or increase its seat count will be crucial.
Impact of Alliances: The effectiveness of alliances like the Mahagathbandhan and UPA in consolidating votes against the BJP.
Voter Turnout: Any significant changes in voter turnout, which can be an indicator of shifting political sentiments.
Regional Issues: Local issues and the performance of state governments often influence voter behaviour in Lok Sabha elections.