Maharashtra Exit Poll projects huge win for BJP-Sena; disaster for UPA

As the electoral process for Maharashtra assembly polls concluded on October 21, the predictions of Pradeep Bhandari's Jan Ki Baat reckon a landslide victory for the saffron alliance of BJP-Shiv Sena. While the UPA coalition of Congress-NCP in Maharashtra is projected to lag behind with a significant difference in the number of seats. 

NDA is projected to secure seats in the range of 216 to 230 seats with incumbent BJP laying hold of a significant majority with 135 to 142 seats. Followed by ally Shiv Sena, who is predicted to secure 81 to 88 seats in Maharashtra. Sharad Pawar's NCP is predicted to grab 30 to 35 seats. Meanwhile, Congress is estimated to contribute 20 to 24 seats to the UPA alliance. 

Meanwhile, as per Jan ki Baat projections, AIMIM is likely to secure a sole seat in Mumbai's Byculla where Waris Pathan is seeking to retain his seat. Others are predicted to win 8 to 12 seats in Maharashtra and Raj Thackeray's MNS is projected to be empty-handed.  As per the predictions, BJP is like to secure 33% of vote share, followed by ally Shiv Sena with 24%. Sharad Pawar's NCP predicted to secure 15% vote share and Congress lags behind with 11%. While Others are predicted to win 10% of vote share, AIMIM to secure 2% and MNS left with only 1%. 

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Seat share

• BJP - 135 to  142
• Shiv Sena- 81  to 88
• INC- 24 to 20
• NCP -30 to 35
• Others- 8 to 12
• MNS -  0
• AIMIM - 0 to 1 

Vote share

• BJP- 33%
• Shiv Sena- 24%
• INC- 11%
• NCP- 15%
• Independent- 10%
• AIMIM- 2%
• MNS- 1%
• Others- 4%

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Region-wise projections

In Maharashtra, the saffron NDA alliance is projected to win in the Konkan region of 75 seats with a total of 67 seats. NCP-Congress coalition is predicted to win only 6 seats. With 47 seats in Nasik, NDA is predicted to secure 34 seats, with mere 11 seats left for the UPA. In Amravati, BJP and Shiv Sena are predicted to garner 23 seats. Meanwhile, UPA is projected to win only 5 seats, 2 for Others.

With 32 seats in Nagpur, BJP is predicted to win a majority of 29 seats with a mere 3 left for Congress and none for their allies Shiv Sena and NCP respectively and 2 for Others. Meanwhile, in Pune, BJP is predicted to win 25 seats out of 58, followed by 14 seats for Shiv Sena. NCP and Congress are together predicted to win 17 seats. Out of the 46 seats in Aurangabad, NDA is predicted to secure a landslide victory with 31 seats, leaving 13 for UPA and 2 for Others. 

Maharashtra elections

In Maharashtra, where the 'Mahayuti' alliance of BJP, Shiv Sena and smaller parties is against the 'Maha-agadhi' led by the Congress and the NCP. In the saffron alliance, BJP will be contesting on 150 seats, and Shiv Sena will fight on 124 seats in Maharashtra. Alliance partners of BJP have fielded 14 candidates on the party's lotus symbol. Meanwhile, the Congress is contesting the polls in alliance with the NCP. Both parties are contesting on 125 seats each in the 288-member Assembly and its allies on the remaining 38 seats.

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