National Approval Ratings: In Jammu And Kashmir, NC projected to be biggest winner, while Congress and PDP may come up empty-handed

With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world.

As there is just about one month for the Lok Sabha polls, Republic TV and CVoter have brought to you the complete picture for the people of the country.

Jammu and Kashmir which has six Lok Sabha seats has seen a spike in ceasefire violations in the past month following the Pulwama terror attack and India's operation against Pakistan backed terror camps across the LoC.

Here is the survey for Jammu and Kashmir for the month of March shows the following trend.

The UPA (which includes the National Conference) is likely to win 4 seats out of 6 seats, whereas NDA (which is the BJP here) may win 2 seats. The PDP and the Congress is projected to go empty handed with zero seats.

Vote share: 

UPA: 38.6%
NDA: 38.6%
PDP: 6.4%
Others: 16.5%

In 2014 Lok Sabha elections, BJP was leading the vote-share with of 32.4%, followed by 34% by UPA and PDP with 20.5%. The BJP and PDP had each won 3 seats. This shows that the PDP is projected to see a big fall from grace. 

READ | National Approval Rating: In Jammu And Kashmir, UPA Projected To Gain In Comparison To None In 2014; NDA And PDP Lag Behind

Prediction for January:

Out of the 6 seats up for grabs, the predictions for January suggest that UPA was set to gain 4 seats, leaving NDA with 2 seats. UPA was predicted to gain over NDA by 4.6%, making a clear path of victory for UPA government.  

Prediction for December:

The UPA was predicted to garner 4 seats, followed by 2 seats for BJP, while the PDP, Congress, and others were projected to fail to win any seats.

UPA was predicted to lead with 38.1% of vote-share, followed by 33.7% for BJP, and Mehbooba Mufti's PDP at 16%.

READ | National Approval Ratings: In Jammu And Kashmir, Huge Gains Predicted For UPA, Leaving NDA Behind