National Approval Ratings: NDA is predicted to win in Sikkim, UPA to face loss

With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world.

To present a snapshot projection of where the various parties stand at the moment in different states, Republic TV and CVoter have published the National Approval Ratings which present a complete picture of what would happen if elections are held today.

Here are the predictions for Sikkim: 

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Seat share

UPA-0
NDA-1

Vote-share

UPA-26%
NDA-39.5%

NDA is projected to grab the only seat in Sikkim, leaving none for UPA. A similar result was seen in the last projections of January edition.

As far as the vote-share is concerned, NDA is leading with 39.5% while UPA lags back with 26%. Although, UPA has made an improvement in vote-share from their January predictions of 16%

December projections: The SDF which held the single seat in 2014 was likely to continue to hold it. It was set to retain it for NDA

November projections: In November too, the NDA had a clean sweep prediction in the state via the SDF. It was projected to win 48.9% of the votes whereas the INC was projected to win 19.1%. Others were projected to get 32% of the vote share.

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October projections: In October, NDA was projected to win 54% votes, the INC was projected to win 1.6%. The others were projected to win 44.5% of the vote share. The SDF was projected to bag the lone seat.

In 2014, the NDA received 55.3% vote share whereas the INC got 2.3%, and Others had got 42.3% votes.

The SDF has always clung on to hold this seat right since the 2004 elections.

A parallel CVoter survey has already indicated that citizens' satisfaction with the performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been on an upswing since the Feb 1 budget where a number of significant announcements were made - especially for farmers and for middle-class taxpayers. This satisfaction index the skyrocketed following India's air-strike against Pakistani terror bases across the LoC. Simultaneously, the satisfaction index of Congress president Rahul Gandhi has spiraled downward in the same time-frame.