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Published 21:11 IST, November 1st 2018

National Approval Ratings: Congress-led UPA likely to fly high in Punjab by bringing NDA & AAP down to the ground

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. 

Reported by: Daamini Sharma
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National Approval Ratings: Congress-led UPA likely to fly high in Punjab by bringing NDA & AAP down to the ground
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With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. With 13 Lok Sabha seats, Punjab is crucial to the 2019 elections and as of now the projections look like this:

  • The NDA is set to record 1 out of 13 seats, which is the same as it was projected to record last month 
  • The UPA is set to record 12 out 13 seats, which is the same as it was projected to record last month
  • The UPAs vote share seems to have gained by 1% from last month while the BJP seems to gain by 4.3% in the same time.
  • Ladies and gentlemen, this is why I don't think the Punjab number will stick long term is because we haven’t seen the political and electoral fall out of the Amritsar train tragedy since both sides are yet to hit the ground in terms of campaigning in the state
  • While there seems to be still anti-incumbency against the NDA in the projected figures, as per the numbers, there seems to be again in sentiment towards Amarinder Singh with a spike of 9 seats since his 2014 tally, while Arvind Kejriwal once again emerges as the biggest loser in the state
  • Overall, the Punjab story is interestingly going the Congress way by picking up 12 out of 13 seats so there seems to be a significant amount of affection for Amarinder Singh’s governance despite the Amritsar train tragedy and despite the motormouth Siddhu factor
  • Interestingly, the trend of a gain for the Congress In Punjab comes in parallel to the trend of Rahul Gandhi staying away from the state

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE: In Electorally Critical November, Will BJP, Congress Or Mahagathbandhan Win If General Elections Are Held Today? All Predictions From The Biggest Poll Here

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with critical assembly elections in five states due in the next few weeks, November may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections. Even as the Prime Minister dedicated the world's tallest statue -- the Statue of Unity -- to the nation on the 143rd birth anniversary of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel, and a few days before that, commemorated Subhash Chandra Bose and the 75th anniversary of the Azad Hind Government, a massive war of words was triggered over appropriation of freedom icons. Additionally, the Supreme Court has delayed its hearings in the Ayodhya dispute, and will only decide in January when the hearings will take place. This has caused many among the pro-Mandir bent-of-mind, including the RSS, VHP and Hindu Mahasabha, to push the government to do whatever it can to build the Ram Mandir, with an ordinance on the matter the most frequently stated solution. In the last month has seen heated polemics over the events at the CBI, with the government acting on the CVC's recommendation to send the two top-most officers at India's premier investigative agency -- Rakesh Asthana and Alok Verma -- on leave after they had both accused the other of corruption.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.

21:11 IST, November 1st 2018