National Approval Ratings: Here are all the possible scenarios as to who might win Uttar Pradesh in 2019 elections

The Republic-CVoter National Approval Ratings projected a massive gain of 42 seats for the SP and the BSP in Uttar Pradesh. The projections didn’t look good for UP CM Yogi Adityanath as the tally projected a massive fall from 76 to 36 with 35 on its own. However, the Congress, for now, is still seeming to be the biggest loser after Mayawati dumping Rahul Gandhi, there’s not much hope for Congress inroads in Uttar Pradesh.

On the other hand, considering the fact that Amit Shah and PM Modi are yet to hit the ground, the NDA’s voteshare has not seen a sharp decline and fallen by only 1.9%, which suggests there may be hope for the BJP.

READ | National Approval Ratings LIVE | BJP Or Congress: Who Will Win If Elections Are Held Today?

Given the current possible landscape in Uttar Pradesh, there could be two possibilities:

• Congress goes with Mahaghatbandhan:  Though, currently it’s seeming like an impossibility after Mayawati’s scathing attack on the Congress on Wednesday. However, if the Congress still goes with the Mahagathbandhan, it would mean BJP slumping further to 24, which would be a sad story for the BJP in the Nationally crucial election to win.
• The Congress would mooch of the Mahagathbandhan:  If the Congress piggybacks the SP and BSP then the projection in UP would be 56 seats.
• THE LIKELY SCENARIO: Given that Mayawati was huffing and puffing at Rahul Gandhi on Wednesday but Akhilesh Yadav refused to be committal. It is highly likely that this will be the scenario in Uttar Pradesh. This would mean, the biggest present Mayawati can give Amit shah in 2019.

If the Mahagathbandhan is intact, NDA gets 36 seats. If Mayawati goes alone in 2019, the NDA is slated to almost double its seats to all of 70 out of 80 seats. So as of today, if the BJP wants to sweep UP like it did in 2014, it seems Mayawati’s mood meter may be the deciding factor. But, if this happens it would also mean a thump for the mahagatbandhan because BSP would get just 2 seats and the SP would get 6 seats.

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic and CVoter presented the National Approval Ratings to give complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. National Approval Rating is the largest, most accurate and most studied survey of the length and breadth of this country to bring the most realistic picture of the mood of the electorate if the elections were held today. 

READ | National Approval Ratings: From 73 To 36, NDA To Suffer A Major Blow As 'gathbandhan' Of SP And BSP To Dominate Uttar Pradesh