National Approval Ratings: In Jammu and Kashmir, huge gains predicted for UPA, leaving NDA behind

With India inching closer and closer to general elections, the campaigns of political parties across the country are in full swing. In the pre-election hubbub, the prevailing scenario appears ever-changing, thus bringing in new shades to an already vibrant political landscape in the country in terms of seat-sharing, coalitions or fielding big names in different states. Republic TV and CVoter are back with the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today.

After the six-months of Governor's rule in a politically intricate Jammu and Kashmir, President's rule has since been imposed in the state, with assembly elections likely to be held simultaneously with general elections.  

Out of the 6 seats up for grabs, the predictions for January suggest that UPA is set to gain 4 seats, leaving NDA with 2 seats. 

While, the previous allies of BJP, Mehbooba Mufti's PDP is projected to win none. The projections in terms of seat share have not changed since last month.

READ| National Approval Ratings: In Bihar, BJP-JD(U)-LJP Alliance Projected To Win Big As Cong-RJD Likely To Lag Behind

As far as vote share is concerned UPA is predicted to gain over NDA by 4.6%, making a clear path of victory for UPA government.  

Jammu and Kashmir had been at the forefront of political turmoil after the dissolution of the Assembly in November by Governor Satya Pal Malik, citing horse-trading and lack of stability to form a government as the reasons. 

Vote Share

UPA-40.6%
NDA-36%
PDP- 13.4%
Others-10%

Seat Share

UPA-4
NDA-2
PDP-0

Encompassing the current political situation in India, the significant strands to watch out for are various efforts to form 'united fronts' which appears to be a contest between those who were present at TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee's mega-rally in Kolkata, and those, like Telangana CM KCR, who weren't, as well as another Nehru-Gandhi scion, Priyanka Gandhi, commencing her (active) political career after the Congress party was snubbed by Akhilesh Yadav's SP's and Mayawati's BSP's alliance in Uttar Pradesh despite the party's victory in three Hindi heartlands in the Assembly elections- Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh. Meanwhile, the BJP and Shiv Sena may have witnessed a thaw in their relationship with the Maharashtra government sanctioning Rs 100 crore for a Balasaheb Thackeray memorial. At the same time, pro-Mandir organisations RSS and VHP still pushing the BJP to bring in an Ordinance on the Ram Mandir issue in Ayodhya despite the Supreme Court also currently hearing the case. 

READ| National Approval Ratings: In Himachal Pradesh, BJP Is Projected To Win Massively By Gaining All Four Seats, Leaving None For Congress

The beginning of 2019 also saw parliament giving a green signal to provide 10 percent reservation in jobs and educational institutions to the economically weaker sections in the general category. It also remains to be seen what the Modi government's last budget holds for the people of India.