National Approval Ratings: In Jharkhand, a rough patch for NDA as UPA projected to fly high with 8 seats

With the 2019 Lok Sabha elections looming ever larger, the political scenario in the country is currently in a state of flux, with parties desperately figuring out seat-sharing terms, snubbing or accepting each other with respect to alliances, or fielding their big names in various states. Republic TV and CVoter are back with the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. 

The leading producer of mineral wealth, Jharkhand has a total of 14 seats in its kitty and the numbers coming in are super interesting:

Projection:

• The NDA is projected to get a 41.9% vote share and 5 seat tally  
• The Congress+JMM combine is projected to get a 46.5% vote share and an 8 seat
• The JVM is projected to get a 10.1% vote share and 1 seat tally

Seat Share:

• UPA: 8 seats
• NDA: 5 seats
• JVM: 1 seat

Vote Share:

• UPA: 46.5%
• NDA: 41.9%
• JVM: 10.1%
• Others: 1.4%

Read: National Approval Ratings: In Jharkhand, A Rough Patch For NDA As UPA Projected To Fly High In Terms Of Seat-share 

COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS NUMBERS: 

• In December edition, the numbers were similar to the January projection. The BJP has seen a consistent decline from 12 seats in 2014, to a projected 8 seats in October and then coming further down to 6 seats in November. Now, NDA has fallen down to 5 seat tally. However, on the upside, NDA vote share is projected to climb up by 1.3% compared to November.
• Correspondingly, the UPA seems to be making gains from a 2 seat tally in 2014 to a 6 seat projected gain and now it has reached 8 seats in the January edition.

Read: National Approval Ratings: BJP To Go Down From 12 To 8 Seats, UPA To Move Upto 5 In Jharkhand

The election year 2019 started off with India’s opposition appearing largely unwilling to acquiesce to Rahul Gandhi's proposal of the Congress serving as a platform for regional parties to come together in order to defeat the BJP. Despite the Congress successes in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, in Uttar Pradesh, the much-heralded Mahagathbandhan turned out to just be a 'Gathbandhan' as old enemies Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati left the Congress out, forming an SP-BSP alliance. Left on its own, the Congress resolved to contest every one of the state's 80 seats and proceeded to formally induct Priyanka Gandhi Vadra into the party, appointing her and Jyotiraditya Scindia as General Secretaries for Uttar Pradesh. Elsewhere, former Gujarat CM Shankarsinh Vaghela is to join the NCP, while the Congress alliance with the TDP in Andhra Pradesh is also in doubt. Meanwhile, the BJP and Shiv Sena may have witnessed a thaw in their relationship with the Maharashtra government sanctioning Rs 100 crore for a Balasaheb Thackeray memorial. 

On issues concerning large numbers of people, the government passed a constitutional amendment giving a green signal to provide 10 percent reservation in jobs and educational institutions to economically weaker sections in the general category, while numerous agrarian schemes that needn't necessarily be farm-loan waivers have also been spoken of in the lead-up to the Modi government's final budget.