National Approval Ratings: NDA projected to defeat UPA in the state of Maharashtra, here's the full scenario

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. In the state of Maharashtra, there are 48 Lok Sabha seats. BJP, INC, NCP and Shiv Sena are the major players eyeing these seats. Here's the projection for the state:

• Status Quo for BJP: Overall, the lack of a declared NDA alliance means a fall in the seats of the NDA from 42 in 2014 to 23 in 2018.  But it also means the status quo for the BJP which held exactly 23 seats in 2014.
• Shiv Sena: The big loser?: For the Shiv Sena, the absence of BJP ally seems to mark a fall in seats from 18 in 2014, to 5 seats in the projections today.
• 7 fold jump for Congress: Interestingly, it is the Congress party that is pegged to make maximum gains with a 7 fold jump from  2 seats in 2014, to a projected 14 seats.
• 2 seat increase for NCP: The NCP which has not made its alliances clear as the year is looking to benefit by going at it alone as well, with a 2 seat increase in seat share from 4 seats in 2014 to a projected 6 seats
• In terms of vote share, while the lack of an alliance means the NDA vote share falls from 51.3 to 37.8%, that is a 13.5% fall, individually, the BJP has made massive gains with 10.2% increase in vote share from 2014. Interestingly there was a 10.2% increase in vote share of the Congress party as well even as the NCP and the Shiv Sena have been projected to see a fall in the vote share of 2.6% and 12.3% respectively.  

  #NationalApprovalRatings | NDA projected to win 23 seats in Maharashtra. pic.twitter.com/MANItbziMn

  — Republic (@republic) November 1, 2018

   

COMPARISON WITH OCTOBER, 2018: Let us take a look at the national Approval Ratings for Maharashtra on a month on month basis:

• The BJP is pegged to see a 1 seat increase from the numbers projected last month, despite a minor decrease of 0.2% in vote share
• The Congress is projected to see a 3 seat rise from October 2018 should the elections be held today alongside a minor increase of vote share by 0.8%
• Sharad Pawar’s NCP on is projected to see a decline in seat share by 2 seats from last month alongside a minor 0.4% decline in vote share
• Meanwhile, Shiv Sena has seen another drop of 2 seats from the projected 7 seats last month despite a minor projected increase in vote share by 0.2% from last month

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE: In Electorally Critical November, Will BJP, Congress Or Mahagathbandhan Win If General Elections Are Held Today? All Predictions From The Biggest Poll Here

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with critical assembly elections in five states due in the next few weeks, November may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections. Even as the Prime Minister dedicated the world's tallest statue -- the Statue of Unity -- to the nation on the 143rd birth anniversary of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel, and a few days before that, commemorated Subhash Chandra Bose and the 75th anniversary of the Azad Hind Government, a massive war of words was triggered over appropriation of freedom icons. Additionally, the Supreme Court has delayed its hearings in the Ayodhya dispute, and will only decide in January when the hearings will take place. This has caused many among the pro-Mandir bent-of-mind, including the RSS, VHP and Hindu Mahasabha, to push the government to do whatever it can to build the Ram Mandir, with an ordinance on the matter the most frequently stated solution. In the last month has seen heated polemics over the events at the CBI, with the government acting on the CVC's recommendation to send the two top-most officers at India's premier investigative agency -- Rakesh Asthana and Alok Verma -- on leave after they had both accused the other of corruption.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.