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Published 17:22 IST, November 23rd 2024

Man of The Moment: How Fadnavis Scripted BJP’s Stunning Comeback in Maharashtra

The Maharashtra government's Ladki Bahna Yojana emerged as a cornerstone of its electoral success, securing massive support from women voters across the state.

Reported by: Digital Desk
Edited by: Surabhi Shaurya
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How Fadnavis Scripted BJP’s Stunning Comeback in Maharashtra
How Fadnavis Scripted BJP’s Stunning Comeback in Maharashtra | Image: Republic Digital

New Delhi: "Mera paani utarta dekh mere kinare par ghar mat basa lena, main samandar hoon, lautkar wapas aaunga" (Seeing my waters recede, do not build on my shores; I am the sea, and I will return), Devendra Fadnavis had declared in the Maharashtra Assembly five years ago in December 2019. True to his words, 2.5 years later, he has made a remarkable comeback, with the Maharashtra Vidhan Sabha election results 2024—this time with a resounding mandate.  

The Mahayuti is heading for a landslide victory, with the BJP on track to improve its performance from the Lok Sabha elections. Leading in over 200 seats at the time of filing the copy, the BJP alone is ahead in 125 of the 149 constituencies it contested, setting the stage for a bigger role for Fadnavis in the state. In the ruling Mahayuti alliance, the BJP contested 149 assembly seats, the Shiv Sena 81 seats, and the Ajit Pawar -led NCP in 59 constituencies. In the MVA combine, the Congress fielded 101 candidates, Shiv Sena(UBT) 95 and the NCP(SP) 86. 

How Fadnavis Scripted BJP’s Stunning Comeback in Maharashtra

Ladki Bahna Yojana—A Game Changer

The Maharashtra government's Ladki Bahna Yojana emerged as a cornerstone of its electoral success, securing widespread support from women voters across the state. The scheme, designed to provide financial aid to women, struck a chord across diverse demographics. 

Hailing the scheme, Ajit Pawar said,“Ladki Bahin Yojana became our game changer. It defeated each of our adversaries. I have not seen such a victory in my memory. We will not be swayed away by the victory but this has increased our responsibility for sure. We have to behave responsibly now. Especially financial discipline is needed to fulfil all our promises. We are committed to that."

Launched on Raksha Bandhan (August 2024), the Ladki Bahin scheme offers ₹1,500 monthly to over one crore women in Maharashtra. Modeled after the 'Ladli Behna Yojana' by Shivraj Chouhan's Madhya Pradesh government, the Maharashtra government has pledged that the scheme will continue indefinitely.In an early trial run, more than 30 lakh eligible women received ₹3,000 directly into their bank accounts.

Despite an estimated annual expenditure of ₹46,000 crore, the Ladki Bahna Yojana proved instrumental in winning the trust and loyalty of women voters, significantly influencing the election outcome.

The Role of RSS

The Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) played a pivotal role in empowering the BJP's electoral campaign, particularly in Haryana , where its cadre worked tirelessly to reach the grassroots. Their efforts ensured BJP's resonance among Hindu, non-Jat, and Dalit communities, giving the party a crucial edge.

In Maharashtra, the RSS adopted a similarly aggressive approach. After the BJP's underwhelming performance in the Lok Sabha elections in northern states, the Sangh redoubled its efforts to support the BJP's campaign. Reports, including one from The Indian Express, highlighted the RSS’s systematic door-to-door outreach, urging voters to back the Mahayuti alliance.

Senior RSS officials credited the Sajag Raho campaign—a personalized voter engagement initiative—as a key factor in bridging caste divides and rallying Hindu voters under a united front.

The RSS’s active participation extended to other states, notably in Uttar Pradesh by-polls, where it played a decisive role in aiding Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath 's campaign. The Sangh even endorsed Adityanath’s slogan, "Batenge toh katenge", underlining its steadfast commitment to promoting Hindu solidarity.

Hindutva in Focus

Both the Maharashtra and Haryana elections witnessed a sharp focus on Hindutva as BJP leaders doubled down on polarizing narratives. Slogans like "Batenge toh katenge" and its toned-down counterpart, "Ek hai toh safe hai", struck a powerful chord with the BJP’s core supporters. These hardline messages effectively countered opposition efforts to consolidate votes from Muslim, Dalit, and Kunbi communities, solidifying BJP’s dominance in both states.   

Strategic OBC Outreach

OBCs, comprising nearly 38% of Maharashtra's population, hold influence in around 175 of the 288 assembly seats. Recognizing this, BJP leaders, including Devendra Fadnavis, crafted a focused outreach strategy targeting this demographic. The party employed the "MaDhVa" formula—representing Mali (gardener), Dhangar (shepherd), and Vanjari communities—to strengthen its appeal, particularly following the divisive Maratha reservation agitation.

Current trends indicate that this approach has paid off, with the BJP projected to win 17 seats in the Marathwada region alone.

Mahayuti Decimates MVA 

After defeating MVA, Maharashtra Chief Minister Eknath Shinde said the results of the assembly elections were historic, and decided to whom the Nationalist Congress Party and Shiv Sena belong to.

Holding a joint press conference as the ruling BJP-Shiv Sena-NCP coalition was poised to win a massive victory, the leaders of the Mahayuti assured that the next government will be formed smoothly.

Deputy Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis said the people rejected the politics of appeasement and responded to Prime Minister Narendra Modi 's `Ek Hai toh Safe Hai' message of unity.

NCP chief and deputy CM Ajit Pawar averred that the ruling alliance will not get carried away by the landslide win, and will bring financial discipline.

Referring to the poor showing of the rival factions, both Shinde and Ajit Pawar said the results showed to whom the Shiv Sena and NCP belong.

"After all the results are declared, our MLAs will come to Mumbai, and all three parties will elect their leaders," Fadnavis said.

Shinde pointed out that the three parties had finalised their seat-sharing amicably, and said the government formation process would not face any hinderance.

They learnt lessons from the Lok Sabha debacle and took corrective steps, Ajit Pawar added. 

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Updated 18:01 IST, November 23rd 2024