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Published 21:01 IST, November 1st 2018

National Approval Ratings: In poll-bound Telangana, UPA likely to shoot upto 8 seats, TRS Suffers minor fall

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. 

Reported by: Daamini Sharma
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National Approval Ratings: In poll-bound Telangana, UPA likely to shoot upto 8 seats, TRS Suffers minor fall
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With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. With a big state election coming up in Telangana, the mood of the state that controls 17 crucial seats is pivotal. As per the predictions:

  • The BJP is slated to get 1 seat, the INC-TDP combine is pegged to get 8 seats and the TRS is set to get to get 7 seats. Owaisi is set to pick up 1 seat in Telangana.
  • Interestingly, while the INC-TDP combine ensures that the Congress sees a 6 seat gain from 2014, the TDP has fallen to 0 seats from the 1 seat it got in 2014
  • The TRS which got 11 seats in 2014 is pegged to get 7 seats this time around, thereby recording a fall of 4 seats from one general election to another. What’s more worrying is that 2 out of these 4 seats that the TRS has lost out on has come in the last month
  • The vote share story is a heartening one for the INC+TDP combine as it gains 6.7% of the vote ever since 2014-- at a time when the BJP’s projected vote share is slated to fall by 3.8%
  • While Owaisi has been campaigning hard in Telangana, the fact that there is an upswing of 2.5% of his vote share from the 2014 tally and a status quo vis-a-vis his seats, the question is whether the Owaisi factor in Telangana will once again be reduced to being a vote cutter and not much more?
  • In terms of the overall picture, Naidu seems to be the biggest loser in this election because like we saw in Andhra Pradesh in Telangana too-- walking out of the NDA alliance seems to have been a big blow for him electorally. Is it undoubtedly that Naidu’s reluctant alliance with eh UPA is an almost desperation that’s working for no one else but Rahul Gandhi?

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE: In Electorally Critical November, Will BJP, Congress Or Mahagathbandhan Win If General Elections Are Held Today? All Predictions From The Biggest Poll Here

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with critical assembly elections in five states due in the next few weeks, November may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections. Even as the Prime Minister dedicated the world's tallest statue -- the Statue of Unity -- to the nation on the 143rd birth anniversary of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel, and a few days before that, commemorated Subhash Chandra Bose and the 75th anniversary of the Azad Hind Government, a massive war of words was triggered over appropriation of freedom icons. Additionally, the Supreme Court has delayed its hearings in the Ayodhya dispute, and will only decide in January when the hearings will take place. This has caused many among the pro-Mandir bent-of-mind, including the RSS, VHP and Hindu Mahasabha, to push the government to do whatever it can to build the Ram Mandir, with an ordinance on the matter the most frequently stated solution. In the last month has seen heated polemics over the events at the CBI, with the government acting on the CVC's recommendation to send the two top-most officers at India's premier investigative agency -- Rakesh Asthana and Alok Verma -- on leave after they had both accused the other of corruption.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.

Updated 21:01 IST, November 1st 2018