National Approval Ratings: In Rajasthan, despite Congress win at state level, NDA projected to be on upswing in 2019

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic and CVoter are back with the National Approval Ratings to give a complete picture as to who will win if polls are held today in the state of Rajasthan. After the declaration of assembly elections results in which the Congress party swept majority and formed the government under the Chief Ministership of Ashok Gehlot, the numbers coming in from Rajasthan are super interesting because it is everything unexpected in terms of the opposition's expectations: 

PROJECTIONS: Out of 25 seats up for grab in Rajasthan, the NDA is slated to win 19 leaving the Congress with only 6 seats. This reflects that assembly election results did not affect the National elections but surprisingly the projection is turning out to be in favour of BJP from the last edition vis-a-vis Rajasthan.

• Seat Share:

UPA: 6 seats

NDA: 19 seats

Other Parties: 0 seats

• Vote Share:

UPA: 41.1 %

NDA: 46.2 %

Total: 12.7%

Read: National Approval Ratings: In A Two-Party Contest, BJP Projected To Take Over UPA In Rajasthan

COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS NUMBERS: 

• BJP GAINED DESPITE AN OUSTING AT ASSEMBLY LEVEL: In the November edition in Rajasthan, NDA was projected to win 17 seats while Congress was slated to grab 8 seats. Given the fact that the BJP has gained 2 seats as compared to November's edition and also the fact that these gains have come despite an election loss at the state level, it is clear that despite the assembly election loss, BJP has secured its tight hold in the state.
• BJP  ON THE UPSWING: While there has been a clear transfer of 6 seats from the BJP,  to the Congress vis-a-vis the 2014 tally, the fact of the matter is that the BJP on month-on-month comparison is on the upswing which only corroborates the claim that the vote in 2018 was against Raje and no the BJP regime at the centre in Rajasthan.

Read: National Approval Ratings: BJP Projected To Win 18 Seats In Rajasthan Followed By UPA With 7 Seats

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with the results out for the critical assembly elections in five states, December may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.