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Published 16:08 IST, October 29th 2024

'Trump Victory': One Of World's Top Most Economist Predicts US Elections Outcome

Christophe Barraud has predicted US elections outcome based on a number of factors including markets, polls, election modelers' forecasts among others.

Reported by: Digital Desk
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Donald Trump
Republican candidate Donald Trump during an election rally | Image: AP

Washington: Donald Trump is going to win the US Presidential elections, to be held on November 5, predicts Christophe Barraud, a world-renowned economist. Barraud prediction is based on a number of factors including the progress map of the two parties – Republicans and Democrats – since the start of this year. The graph shows Republicans leading against Democrats till August, however, between August and October, the two grand parties remained in a neck-and-neck contest but finally showing Republicans taking the lead towards the end of October.

Taking to social media platform X, Christophe Barraud, “Looking at different metrics such as betting markets, polls, election modelers' forecasts, financial markets, as of now, the most probable outcomes are:”

  1. Trump victory
  2. GOP clean sweep – Grand Old Party 

Besides predicting that Donald Trump is likely to win the elections, he also said Republicans will be controlling the Congress . He further added that with Republicans controlling the government, if it turns out to be according to his predictions, it may give a temporary boost to the economy.

Elon Musk comes in support of Trump 

Tech giant Elon Musk, speaking at a town hall night in Pennsylvania to support Republican Donald Trump, played down the January 6 attack on the US Capitol and exhorted supporters to cast votes early in the presidential swing state while describing mail ballots as a “recipe for fraud." The freewheeling session inside a ballroom at a hotel in downtown Lancaster touched on a dizzying range of topics, from space exploration and the Tesla cybertruck to immigration and the efficacy of psychiatric drugs. The town hall was part of Musk's efforts through his super PAC to help boost Trump in swing states ahead of the November 5 presidential election against Democrat Kamala Harris.

Musk, whom Trump has vowed to give a role in his administration if he wins next month, spent nearly two hours taking questions from town hall participants. While most were laudatory and covered a variety of topics, one was particularly pointed: A man wanted to know what Musk would say to concerns from voters that Trump's election could lead to democracy backsliding in the US considering his role in the January 6, 2021, insurrection.

While calling it a fair question, Musk also said that the January 6 attack by Trump's supporters has been called “some sort of violent insurrection, which is simply not the case" — a response that drew applause from the crowd. More than 100 law enforcement personnel were injured in the attack, some beaten with their own weapons, when a mob of Trump supporters who believed his lies that the 2020 election was stolen from him stormed the Capitol to stop the certification of votes.

Musk also claimed that people “who say Trump is a threat to democracy are themselves a threat to democracy,” a comment that was also cheered by the crowd of several hundred people packed tightly into the ballroom. Many more watched the event on X, the social media platform Musk purchased two years ago.

Trump, he said, “did actually tell people to not be violent." While Trump did tell the crowd on January 6 to protest “peacefully and patriotically,” he also encouraged them to “fight like hell” to stop Democrat Joe Biden from becoming the president.

With inputs from PTI

Updated 16:27 IST, October 29th 2024