Published 20:31 IST, May 19th 2019
Republic Double Exit poll: Congress projected to repeat Captain Amarinder Singh's 2017 win, BJP to stumble while AAP may vanish entirely say CVoter and Jan Ki Baat
While India is on the threshold of welcoming a new government, the Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - the mega double exit poll in collaboration with the country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter.
Advertisement
As polling in all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls - largest exercise in democratic franchise anywhere in world - has officially come to an end, countdown for deciding-day - May 23 has begun, when results of 2019 Lok Sabha Elections will finally be declared. While India is on threshold of welcoming a new government, Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - mega double exit poll in collaboration with country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter.
An estimated 900 million citizens voted in thousands of polling booths in every corner of country in 39 days-long voting process. Vote-counting will be held for 542 seats in Lower House of India's Parliament (Vellore in Tamil Nadu stands countermanded) and country awaits with crucial numbers regarding composition of 17th Lok Sabha.
Advertisement
While exact numbers will be declared on May 23, Republic Media Network presents mega double exit poll a projection of how seat-shares and vote-shares could turn out for each of states and union territories of India, and put toger, project wher BJP and NDA will be able to repeat ir historic mandate of 2014 and conversely, wher Congress, UPA will be able to make a fightback from reaching a historic low. projections are made after conducting extensive on-ground surveys all across country following each of seven phases of 2019 polls.
Projection for Punjab (Total 13 seats):
CVoter:
Advertisement
Seat-share projection:
NDA: 2 seats
Advertisement
UPA: 11 seats
CVoter vote-share projection:
Advertisement
UPA: 40.9 per cent
NDA: 36.2 per cent
Advertisement
Jan Ki Baat:
Seat-share projection:
BJP: 1 seat
Akali Dal: 3 seats
Congress: 9 seats
AAP: 0
Political scenario in state:
Lok Sabha election in state of Punjab is like a mid-term test for its Chief Minister Captain Amarinder Singh under whom Congress party stormed to power with a two-thirds majority in 2017 assembly polls after ten years.
While Congress is looking forward to continuing its winning streak in state owing to ir victory in by polls and municipal elections, BJP is banking upon internal bickering within Congress government in state and anti-incumbency due to unkept promises by Captain. SAD-BJP alliance had won six seats in 2014 parliamentary elections before getting pushed to number three position with its worst-ever tally in 2017 state polls. Akalis, particularly Badals, have been on back foot over incident of sacrilege of Guru Granth Sahib and police firing incidents in 2015. But y have taken Congress head-on by countering its Panthic pitch by raking up 1984 anti-Sikh riots and role of Sajjan Kumar and or leaders. recent controversy over Congress' overseas chief Sam Pitroda's comment on 1984 riots sparked widespread anger against party just before elections. However, Captin is confident that people of state will vote on development works he has undertaken in se years.
Arvind Kejriwal led AAP, which won four seats on its debut in Lok Sabha election in 2014 and n came second in assembly polls to become third force in state’s long-standing bipolar politics of state. Though party has fielded its candidates in all 13 seats, its poll battle is limited to Sangrur and Faridkot where sitting MPs Bhagwant Mann and Sadhu Singh are in fray.
se are key contest in state:
- Amritsar: In 2014 Congress' Captain Amarinder Singh won with a margin of 1,02,770 votes.
In 2019, Union Minister Hardeep Singh Puri (BJP) is pitted against Gurjeet Singh Aujla (Congress), ALso in fray is Kuldip Singh Dhaliwal (AAP).
While Aujla is trying to cash in on his local connect, terming his opponent as an 'outsider', Puri is harping on Modi factor and central ministry he holds. Contrary to 2014 polls, when seat witnessed a fierce battle between Captain Amarinder Singh (Congress) and Union finance minister Arun Jaitley (BJP), which later lost by a margin of over one lakh votes, this time, ‘X-factor’ is missing as candidates are comparatively low-profile.
- Gurdaspur: In 2014 BJP's Vid Khanna won with a margin of 1,36,065 votes.
In 2019, BJP has fielded actor turned politician Sunny Deol against Sunil Kumar Jakhar of Congress. Peter Masih of AAP is also pitted against m. Actor-turned-politician Sunny Deol who recently joined BJP is pitted against Congress sitting MP Sunil Jakhar. Jakhar won seat in bypolls in 2017 following demise of BJP MP and actor Vid Khanna. constituency was traditionally a Congress stronghold but in 1998 Vid Khanna defeated Congress stalwart Sukhbans Kaur Bhinder. Khanna won again in 1999 and 2004. In 2009, he faced defeat at hands of Congress leader Partap Singh Bajwa but in 2014 won again by defeating Bajwa.
- Bathinda: In 2014, SAD's Harsimrat Kaur Badal won with a margin of 19,395 votes.
In 2019 fight is between Harsimrat Kaur Badal (SAD) Vs Amrinder Singh Raja Warring (Congress) Vs Baljinder Kaur (AAP)
battle in 2014 was between ‘Badal bahu’ and her husband Sukhbir Badal’s cousin Manpreet, who contested on a Congress ticket. This time, two-time MP Harsimrat is facing strong anti-incumbency and had entire Badal family campaigning for her. Her opponent is Congress’s Amrinder Singh Raja Warring. Punjab finance minister Manpreet Badal and Navjot Sidhu have been campaigning for Amrinder.
Lok Sabha election stretched for more than one month saw heated campaigning from all parties. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in office, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in 2019 polls with elections also marking entry of his sister Priyanka Gandhi Vadra as an official member of Congress.
In Lok Sabha elections 2019, re were controversies galore over course of polls, ranging from poll violence being witnessed in each of 7 phases of voting in Bengal, to some shocking statements from leaders across parties, with likes of Azam Khan, Yogi Adityanath, Maneka Gandhi and ors being struck down on by Election Commission, and ors, like Sam Pitroda, Sadhvi Pragya and Kamal Haasan triggering mass outr.
A number of Republic Media Network newsbreaks especially set nda for polls, including first interview of Prime Minister's election campaign to Republic's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami and his final campaign interview to Executive Editor Abhishek Kapoor. Alongside se were sensational #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed mselves willing to compromise interests of those whom y claim to represent, Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed falsehood in Congress' farm loan-waiver promise, and numerous ors.
vote counting for 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for n-stop cover of sensational conclusion to general elections here.
17:20 IST, May 19th 2019