Published 20:12 IST, May 19th 2019

Republic Double Exit Poll for Madhya Pradesh: NDA projected to bounce back after assembly poll setback by both Jan Ki Baat and CVoter, UPA projected for alarming slide within months of being on a high 

In 2014, the BJP had recorded its best performance ever in the state, winning 27 of the 29 Lok Sabha seats in the state with a vote-share of 54%. The predictions from both CVoter and Jan Ki Baat show that NDA will win huge number of seats but will not achieve the kind of victory it did in 2014.

Reported by: Apoorva Rao
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electoral process for largest democracy in world comes to a close on Sunday with conclusion of  seventh and final phase of 17th Lok Sabha elections. An estimated 900 million citizens would have given ir mandate in thousands of polling booths across India, sealing fates of aspirants to 542 seats (election to Vellore Lok Sabha seat stands countermanded) in India's lower house of Parliament and going a long way to determining which coalition would form next government. While what 39 days of polling have led to will be revealed on counting day on May 23, before that, Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - a mega double exit poll in collaboration with country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter.

Both Jan Ki Baat and CVoter have conducted extensive on-ground surveys across nation after each of seven phases of 2019 polls. y will present a prospective picture of how each of coalitions, NDA and UPA and nascent third front, as well as all or parties in country will do in every state and union territory and based on those numbers project wher or t NDA will come back with a bigger mandate than what it had received in 2014 - something that BJP believes that it would - or wher UPA will have fought back to win majority seats, which would be a huge leap from mere 44 Congress had won five years ago. 

Madhya Pradesh:

Sending 29 seats to Lok Sabha, Madhya Pradesh is a state coveted by both Congress and BJP. battle is likely to get highly interesting on account of  assembly election results, when Congress overturned years of BJP rule to form a government in state.

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In 2014, BJP had recorded its best performance ever in state, winning 27 of 29 Lok Sabha seats with a vote-share of 54%.  predictions from both CVoter and Jan Ki Baat show that NDA will win huge number of seats but will t achieve kind of victory it did in 2014.

Projection for Madhya Pradesh:

CVoter exit poll:

Seat share:

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UPA: 5
NDA: 24
Ors: 0

CVoter Vote share: 

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UPA- 35.2%
NDA- 55.7%
Ors- 8.0%

Jan Ki Baat survey -

NDA: 21-24 (22)

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UPA: 5-8 (7)

Historical data:

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READ | Republic Double Exit Poll For Uttar Pradesh: Jan Ki Baat Projects BJP Win With Over Half State's Seats, CVoter Projects SP-BSP Mahagathbandhan Fightback, Congress To Lose

battle for Madhya Pradesh:

state was in news as Lok Sabha candidates from M.P made headlines for wrong reasons. Sadhvi Pragya, who is also most controversial candidate from BJP as she is accused in a terror case, made communal statements leading Election Commission to ban her from campaigning on more than one occasion. 

Republic Media Network's Operation Karz Maafi sting  exposed falsehood in Congress' farm loan-waiver promise set nda and became an election point. PM Narendra Modi and several BJP leaders raised issue of Congress' failure to fulfill its promise to waive farm loans in ten days.

election story so far:

elections were fought bitterly between two major national parties.  Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is seeking a second term in Parliament, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows highlighting his many welfare schemes. His Varanasi roadshow had a huge turut leading many to ask if re is indeed a Modi wave in 2019. Rahul Gandhi addressed a total of 125 rallies making Congress' allegations of corruption in Rafale deal against Centre and its manifesto promise of NYAY scheme key points in events.

Several leaders across party lines were tified by Election Commission for violating Model Code of Conduct. Azam Khan, Yogi Adityanath, Maneka Gandhi, Sadhvi Pragya, Mayawati being a few of m. 

Republic Media Network set nda on several occasions in poll season. From broadcasting Prime Minister's first and final interview for Lok Sabha campaigning to conducting #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed y were willing to compromise on interest of those y are supposed to represent as well as Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed falsehood in Congress' farm loan-waiver promise.

vote counting for 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for n-stop cover of sensational conclusion to general elections. 

20:12 IST, May 19th 2019