Republic Double Exit Poll for West Bengal: Major inroads projected for BJP in Mamata Banerjee's bastion, Trinamool likely to come down from 2014 high in 2019 Lok Sabha polls

Thirty-eight days after it began, polling in 2019 Lok Sabha elections has concluded on Sunday, bringing to an end largest festival of democracy anywhere in world. Spread across seven phases throughout 29 states and 7 Union Territories, 2019 elections will decide fate of 542 Lok Sabha seats (excluding Vellore constituency where elections were countermanded over alleged use of cash by DMK). w, final chapter in polls remains as country awaits to kw composition of 17th Lok Sabha which and consequently, next government of India. Ahead of critical vote-counting on May 23, however, amid slog overs of general elections, Republic Media Network has brought to its viewers a mega double exit poll which presents a projection on what final outcome may be.

India's biggest double exit poll, conducted on-ground at polling booths across country by nation's biggest pollsters CVoter and Jan Ki Baat, presents a statistically significant projection for country, including granularity to level of individual states and union territories.

projection for West Bengal:

newsmaker of 2019 Lok Sabha polls, violence including crude bombs, lathicharges and repeated political clashes and claims of attacks from candidates became talking point in West Bengal as polling was held in all seven phases in politically important state. BJP has left stone unturned in attempting to make inroads into Mamata Banerjee's bastion while Trinamool has responded by t ceding an inch. However, it appears that BJP's efforts have paid off as party is projected to win a significant number of seats in state:

C-Voter:

w, as per predicted figure, Mamata Banerjee will continue to hold Trinamool-ruled state by crushing Congress and CPM out of race by winning 29 seats. However, BJP is projected to win 11 seats in state to give Trinamool a hard time.  

Here's vote share projection by CVoter:

NDA- 32.3%

UPA- 11.4% 

CPM-14.1%

Trinamool-39.2%

Jan Ki Baat projection:

According to Jan Ki Baat, however, BJP is projected to be in line for an even more significant result by winning between 18-26 seats while Trinamool is projected to win between 13-21 seats - one of headlines of election if it does come to pass.

Here's seat share projection:

• BJP: 18- 26 seats
• INC: 3 seats
• Trinamool: 21- 13 seats
• CPM: 0 seats

Tough battles in West Bengal: 

Violence and Modi vs Mamata battle - latter, a crucial factor in determining what BJP’s final tally will be - have, of course, made Bengal an election hotspot. second largest city and Urban agglomeration in West Bengal after Kolkata, industrial belt of Asansol is slated to witness a star-powered fight this election. Actor Moon Moon Sen had pulled off a major upset in her poll debut by defeating nine-time MP Basudeb Acharia of CPI(M) in West Bengal’s Bankura Lok Sabha constituency. In her Poll debut Trinamool Congress minee Sen triumphed by 97,511 votes over Acharia, who has been winning from seat without a break since 1980. Sen, daughter of Bengali screen legend Suchitra Sen, received 481,911 votes. w, actor-turned-politician has been fielded against BJP's big gun and Union Minister Babul Supriyo from Asansol constituency. 

Meanwhile, Sitting MP Abhishek Banerjee, who is nephew of Trinamoool chief Mamata Banerjee and considered number two in party, is seeking re-election from Diamond Harbour seat, where he is pitted against BJP's Nilanjan Roy. CPI(M) has minated Fuad Halim and Congress Soumya Aich Roy for seat.

Read: Republic Double Exit Poll For Uttar Pradesh: Jan Ki Baat Projects BJP Win With Over Half State's Seats, CVoter Projects SP-BSP Mahagathbandhan Fightback, Congress To Lose

Here's how West Bengal voted in last three elections in state:

Read: Republic Double Exit Poll For Maharashtra: BJP-ShivSena Combination Projected To Rout Congress-NCP Alliance As Per Both Jan Ki Baat And CVoter

election story so far:

2019 elections saw high-octane electric campaigning from both sides as BJP went hammer and tongs, expressing confidence at each turn that it would t only repeat but also better its tally of 282 votes from five years earlier, whereas Congress and or Opposition parties, especially West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee also campaigned heavily though without being able to make any convincing show of unity. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in Parliament, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in 2019 polls.

While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in office, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in 2019 polls with elections also marking entry of his sister Priyanka Gandhi Vadra as an official member of Congress.  

re were controversies galore over course of polls, ranging from poll violence being witnessed in each of 7 phases of voting in Bengal, to some shocking statements from leaders across parties, with likes of Azam Khan, Yogi Adityanath, Maneka Gandhi and ors being struck down on by Election Commission, and ors, like Sam Pitroda, Sadhvi Pragya and Kamal Haasan triggering mass outr. 

A number of Republic Media Network newsbreaks especially set nda for polls, including first interview of Prime Minister's election campaign to Republic's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami and his final campaign interview to Executive Editor Abhishek Kapoor. Alongside se were sensational #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed mselves willing to compromise interests of those whom y claim to represent, Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed falsehood in Congress' farm loan-waiver promise, and numerous ors.

vote counting for 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for n-stop cover of sensational conclusion to general elections.