Published 23:49 IST, May 19th 2019
Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit poll projection: NDA will form the Government, likely to cross 300+ mark comfortably; Congress to fall short of 100
Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - the mega double exit poll in collaboration with the country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter
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With completion of seventh and final phase of voting on Sunday in seven states and one union territory of India, polling in all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls - largest exercise in democratic franchise anywhere in world - has officially come to an end. With an estimated 900 million citizens voting in thousands of polling booths in every corner of country, what remains w is final vote-counting which will encapsulate results of 39 days of voting and determine composition of 17th Lok Sabha, and onwards from re, next government of India. However, before that moment of truth on May 23, Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - mega double exit poll in collaboration with country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter.
After conducting extensive on-ground surveys all across country following each of seven phases of 2019 polls, double Republic Exit Poll presents a projection of how seat-shares and vote-shares could turn out for each of states and union territories of India, and put toger, project wher BJP and NDA will be able to repeat ir historic mandate of 2014 and conversely, wher Congress, UPA will be able to make a fightback from reaching a historic low.
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Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll:
As per projections by Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll, National Democratic Alliance (NDA)-led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi is projected to clinch an estimated seat-share between 295 and 315 in 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Out of this, BJP is predicted to secure an estimated seat-share between 254 and 274, with 264 median falling eight seats short of half-way mark. In comparison, in 2014, BJP had won 282 seats on its own.
Jan Ki Baat exit poll furr predicts that United Progressive Alliance (UPA)-led by Congress is projected to a win between 122 and 125 seats, with Congress predicted to secure 71 to 74 of se. In 2014, Congress had fared dismally winning just 44 seats.
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remaining n-NDA and n-UPA parties or 'Ors' are projected to win 102-125 seats, out of which in electorally critical state of Uttar Pradesh, Samajwadi Party-Bahujan Samaj Party 'Mahagathbandhan' has been projected to win 21-32 seats (26).
Here are numbers as per Jan Ki Baat projections:
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- NDA - 295 to 315 (305) - BJP - 254 to 274 (264)
- UPA - 122 to 125 (124) - Indian National Congress - 71 to74 (72)
- Ors - 102 to 125 (113)
In terms of vote-share, NDA is projected to win 41.5% votes out of BJP is projected to get 34.5% of total vote-share. UPA is projected to win 24.5% of vote-share out of which Congress is projected to win 20.81% vote-share in 2019 Lok Sabha polls. n-NDA and n-UPA parties or 'Ors' are projected to win a vote-share of 34%.
median of Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll projects BJP-led NDA alliance to secure majority with an estimated 305 seat-share in 2019 Lok Sabha elections, which is, however, 31 seats lower than NDA's victory number in 2014 General Elections, which was an overwhelming 336 seats. UPA-led by Congress is projected to lag far behind with an estimated median seat-share of 124.
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Here are state-wise projections of Republic Media Network Double Exit Poll in collaboration with CVoter and Jan Ki Baat:
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2019 elections saw high-octane electric campaigning from both sides as BJP went hammer and tongs, expressing confidence at each turn that it would t only repeat but also better its tally of 282 votes from five years earlier, whereas Congress and or Opposition parties, especially West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee also campaigned heavily though without being able to make any convincing show of unity.
While Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in office, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in 2019 polls with elections also marking entry of his sister Priyanka Gandhi Vadra as an official member of Congress.
re were controversies galore over course of polls, ranging from poll violence being witnessed in each of 7 phases of voting in Bengal, to some shocking statements from leaders across parties, with likes of Azam Khan, Yogi Adityanath, Maneka Gandhi and ors being struck down on by Election Commission, and ors, like Sam Pitroda, Sadhvi Pragya and Kamal Haasan triggering mass outr.
A number of Republic Media Network newsbreaks especially set nda for polls, including first interview of Prime Minister's election campaign to Republic's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami and his final campaign interview to Executive Editor Abhishek Kapoor. Alongside se were sensational #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed mselves willing to compromise interests of those whom y claim to represent, Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed falsehood in Congress' farm loan-waiver promise, and numerous ors.
vote counting for 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for n-stop cover of sensational conclusion to general elections here.
18:41 IST, May 19th 2019