Published 19:41 IST, December 24th 2018
National Approval Ratings: In Bihar, relief for NDA as JD(U)-BJP-LJP alliance projected to gain while UPA-RJD projected to drop back
With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter are back to give a complete picture as to who will win if polls are held in December.
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With Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic and CVoter are back with National Approval Ratings to give a complete picture as to who will win if polls are held today in state of Bihar. After BJPs former alliance partner Upendra Kushwaha of Rashtriya Lok Samta Party (RLSP) joined Mahagathbandhan in politically fluid and electorally significant state, here's projected breakdown of seat share and vote share:
PROJECTIONS: NDA, that is BJP, LJP and JDU, is projected to get a vote share of 47.4% with a seat share of 35 seats. This projection is positive for NDA as alliance recently anunced that BJP and JDU each will contest 17 seats and LJP will constant 6 seats. Moreover, Amit Shah personally declared that y will win more than '31 seats' in state.
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- Seat Share:
UPA: 5 seats
NDA: 35 seats
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Or Parties: 0 seats
- Vote Share:
UPA: 38.6%
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NDA: 47.4%
Total: 14.0%
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COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS NUMBERS:
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- Little or effect of RLSP factor: While BJP led NDA is projected to see a fall in vote share by 0.3% from 47.7% that was projected in vember, in terms of seat share projection NDA has gained 1 seat and an increase of 4 seats from projections put out in month of October's approval ratings. This clearly indicates, re was little or effect of RLSP factor.
- Upendra Kushwaha factor: UPA has seen an increase in projected vote shares from vember by 3.3% and from October by 4.9%. However, seat share of UPA is projected to fall by 1 seat as compared to vember and 4 seats when compared with October's projection. It indicated that gaining a leader like Upendra Kushwaha, may t have made a palpable difference.
2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as political landscape of India is concerned. With countdown to all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with results out for critical assembly elections in five states, December may just be most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in general elections.
results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may t reflect results or scenarios of state assembly elections, neverless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented National Approval Ratings.
19:08 IST, December 24th 2018